The Democratic Party's commanding position in the TX-37 House race stems primarily from the district's strong partisan lean in the Austin area following recent redistricting, which has produced consistent Democratic majorities in prior cycles. Incumbent Greg Casar secured the Democratic nomination with over 80 percent in the March primary, while Republican candidates remain locked in a low-turnout runoff scheduled for late May. Forecasters rate the seat as safely Democratic, aligning with trader consensus reflected in the current pricing. Potential shifts could arise from an unusually large national Republican wave, a late candidate withdrawal, or unforeseen developments in the general election period before November.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主党
92%
共和党
8%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主党
$2,667 交易量
92%
共和党
$382 交易量
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-37 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Democratic Party's commanding position in the TX-37 House race stems primarily from the district's strong partisan lean in the Austin area following recent redistricting, which has produced consistent Democratic majorities in prior cycles. Incumbent Greg Casar secured the Democratic nomination with over 80 percent in the March primary, while Republican candidates remain locked in a low-turnout runoff scheduled for late May. Forecasters rate the seat as safely Democratic, aligning with trader consensus reflected in the current pricing. Potential shifts could arise from an unusually large national Republican wave, a late candidate withdrawal, or unforeseen developments in the general election period before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-37 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$3,049结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-37 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Democratic Party's commanding position in the TX-37 House race stems primarily from the district's strong partisan lean in the Austin area following recent redistricting, which has produced consistent Democratic majorities in prior cycles. Incumbent Greg Casar secured the Democratic nomination with over 80 percent in the March primary, while Republican candidates remain locked in a low-turnout runoff scheduled for late May. Forecasters rate the seat as safely Democratic, aligning with trader consensus reflected in the current pricing. Potential shifts could arise from an unusually large national Republican wave, a late candidate withdrawal, or unforeseen developments in the general election period before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-37 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$3,049结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Democratic Party's commanding position in the TX-37 House race stems primarily from the district's strong partisan lean in the Austin area following recent redistricting, which has produced consistent Democratic majorities in prior cycles. Incumbent Greg Casar secured the Democratic nomination with over 80 percent in the March primary, while Republican candidates remain locked in a low-turnout runoff scheduled for late May. Forecasters rate the seat as safely Democratic, aligning with trader consensus reflected in the current pricing. Potential shifts could arise from an unusually large national Republican wave, a late candidate withdrawal, or unforeseen developments in the general election period before November.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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