Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party in the TX-37 House race at 91.5%, driven by the district's strong D+26 to D+30 partisan lean per Cook PVI and consistent ratings as Solid or Safe Democratic across forecasters like Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Incumbent Rep. Greg Casar, displaced into the newly redrawn Austin-based district by 2025 mid-decade redistricting, dominated the March 3 Democratic primary with 81% of the vote against minimal opposition, underscoring robust base support in this urban stronghold where Democrats have won general elections by 50+ point margins. The Republican primary fragmented into a May 26 runoff between Ge'Nell Gary and Lauren Peña after low-turnout results, limiting GOP momentum. Realistic challenges include a scandal engulfing Casar, unified Republican turnout surge, or a national midterm wave, though structural barriers remain high ahead of the November 3 general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主党
92%
共和党
8%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主党
$0 交易量
92%
共和党
$0 交易量
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-37 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party in the TX-37 House race at 91.5%, driven by the district's strong D+26 to D+30 partisan lean per Cook PVI and consistent ratings as Solid or Safe Democratic across forecasters like Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Incumbent Rep. Greg Casar, displaced into the newly redrawn Austin-based district by 2025 mid-decade redistricting, dominated the March 3 Democratic primary with 81% of the vote against minimal opposition, underscoring robust base support in this urban stronghold where Democrats have won general elections by 50+ point margins. The Republican primary fragmented into a May 26 runoff between Ge'Nell Gary and Lauren Peña after low-turnout results, limiting GOP momentum. Realistic challenges include a scandal engulfing Casar, unified Republican turnout surge, or a national midterm wave, though structural barriers remain high ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-37 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-37 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party in the TX-37 House race at 91.5%, driven by the district's strong D+26 to D+30 partisan lean per Cook PVI and consistent ratings as Solid or Safe Democratic across forecasters like Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Incumbent Rep. Greg Casar, displaced into the newly redrawn Austin-based district by 2025 mid-decade redistricting, dominated the March 3 Democratic primary with 81% of the vote against minimal opposition, underscoring robust base support in this urban stronghold where Democrats have won general elections by 50+ point margins. The Republican primary fragmented into a May 26 runoff between Ge'Nell Gary and Lauren Peña after low-turnout results, limiting GOP momentum. Realistic challenges include a scandal engulfing Casar, unified Republican turnout surge, or a national midterm wave, though structural barriers remain high ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-37 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party in the TX-37 House race at 91.5%, driven by the district's strong D+26 to D+30 partisan lean per Cook PVI and consistent ratings as Solid or Safe Democratic across forecasters like Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Incumbent Rep. Greg Casar, displaced into the newly redrawn Austin-based district by 2025 mid-decade redistricting, dominated the March 3 Democratic primary with 81% of the vote against minimal opposition, underscoring robust base support in this urban stronghold where Democrats have won general elections by 50+ point margins. The Republican primary fragmented into a May 26 runoff between Ge'Nell Gary and Lauren Peña after low-turnout results, limiting GOP momentum. Realistic challenges include a scandal engulfing Casar, unified Republican turnout surge, or a national midterm wave, though structural barriers remain high ahead of the November 3 general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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