Incumbent Rep. Terri Sewell (D) dominates trader consensus for Alabama's 7th Congressional District House seat, with Democratic Party shares at 92.5%, driven by her unchallenged hold on this Black-majority district since 2011 and lack of primary opposition ahead of the May 19 contest. No Republican qualified by the January 23 filing deadline, underscoring the seat's solid Democratic lean and historical ease of retention amid routine constituent updates but no recent catalysts like scandals or high-profile challengers. While probabilities exceed 90%, potential shifts could arise from an unexpected Democratic primary upset, Sewell's health issues, legal troubles, or late GOP recruitment of a formidable nominee before the November 3 general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
民主党
93%
共和党
6%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
民主党
$4,942 交易量
93%
共和党
$0 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Terri Sewell (D) dominates trader consensus for Alabama's 7th Congressional District House seat, with Democratic Party shares at 92.5%, driven by her unchallenged hold on this Black-majority district since 2011 and lack of primary opposition ahead of the May 19 contest. No Republican qualified by the January 23 filing deadline, underscoring the seat's solid Democratic lean and historical ease of retention amid routine constituent updates but no recent catalysts like scandals or high-profile challengers. While probabilities exceed 90%, potential shifts could arise from an unexpected Democratic primary upset, Sewell's health issues, legal troubles, or late GOP recruitment of a formidable nominee before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
交易量
$4,942结束日期
Nov 3, 2026市场开放时间
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Terri Sewell (D) dominates trader consensus for Alabama's 7th Congressional District House seat, with Democratic Party shares at 92.5%, driven by her unchallenged hold on this Black-majority district since 2011 and lack of primary opposition ahead of the May 19 contest. No Republican qualified by the January 23 filing deadline, underscoring the seat's solid Democratic lean and historical ease of retention amid routine constituent updates but no recent catalysts like scandals or high-profile challengers. While probabilities exceed 90%, potential shifts could arise from an unexpected Democratic primary upset, Sewell's health issues, legal troubles, or late GOP recruitment of a formidable nominee before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$4,942结束日期
Nov 3, 2026市场开放时间
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Terri Sewell (D) dominates trader consensus for Alabama's 7th Congressional District House seat, with Democratic Party shares at 92.5%, driven by her unchallenged hold on this Black-majority district since 2011 and lack of primary opposition ahead of the May 19 contest. No Republican qualified by the January 23 filing deadline, underscoring the seat's solid Democratic lean and historical ease of retention amid routine constituent updates but no recent catalysts like scandals or high-profile challengers. While probabilities exceed 90%, potential shifts could arise from an unexpected Democratic primary upset, Sewell's health issues, legal troubles, or late GOP recruitment of a formidable nominee before the November 3 general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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