In Colorado's 4th Congressional District, a reliably Republican seat with R+9 partisan lean, GOP nominee Lauren Boebert holds a commanding position after her June primary win in a crowded field, defeating rivals with 43% of the vote. Recent polls, including those from Emerson College in August, show Boebert leading Democratic nominee Trisha Calvarese by double digits amid strong fundraising and national midterm tailwinds favoring Republicans to retain House control. Trader consensus prices reflect this edge at 63% for the Republican Party versus 44.5% for Democrats, though the November 5 general election leaves room for shifts from turnout in rural strongholds or late-campaign dynamics.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于民主党
45%
共和党
48%
民主党
45%
共和党
48%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...In Colorado's 4th Congressional District, a reliably Republican seat with R+9 partisan lean, GOP nominee Lauren Boebert holds a commanding position after her June primary win in a crowded field, defeating rivals with 43% of the vote. Recent polls, including those from Emerson College in August, show Boebert leading Democratic nominee Trisha Calvarese by double digits amid strong fundraising and national midterm tailwinds favoring Republicans to retain House control. Trader consensus prices reflect this edge at 63% for the Republican Party versus 44.5% for Democrats, though the November 5 general election leaves room for shifts from turnout in rural strongholds or late-campaign dynamics.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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