Redistricting under Proposition 50, approved in November 2025, redrew California's 41st Congressional District to encompass Democratic-leaning southeast Los Angeles County suburbs like Downey and Whittier, yielding a D+9 partisan index where Kamala Harris captured 56% in 2024. Ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify it Solid or Safe Democratic. In the June 2 top-two primary, Rep. Linda Sánchez (D), shifting from CA-38, dominates fundraising with $721,000 cash-on-hand versus Hector de la Torre's $433,000 and Republican Mitch Clemmons' zero reported; two Democrats are poised to advance. Trader consensus at 92% Democratic reflects this structural edge, though primary upsets, nominee scandals, or midterm turnout shifts could challenge it.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主党
93%
共和党
7%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主党
$4,684 交易量
93%
共和党
$462 交易量
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-41 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting under Proposition 50, approved in November 2025, redrew California's 41st Congressional District to encompass Democratic-leaning southeast Los Angeles County suburbs like Downey and Whittier, yielding a D+9 partisan index where Kamala Harris captured 56% in 2024. Ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify it Solid or Safe Democratic. In the June 2 top-two primary, Rep. Linda Sánchez (D), shifting from CA-38, dominates fundraising with $721,000 cash-on-hand versus Hector de la Torre's $433,000 and Republican Mitch Clemmons' zero reported; two Democrats are poised to advance. Trader consensus at 92% Democratic reflects this structural edge, though primary upsets, nominee scandals, or midterm turnout shifts could challenge it.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-41 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 10:29 AM ET
交易量
$5,146结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:29 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-41 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting under Proposition 50, approved in November 2025, redrew California's 41st Congressional District to encompass Democratic-leaning southeast Los Angeles County suburbs like Downey and Whittier, yielding a D+9 partisan index where Kamala Harris captured 56% in 2024. Ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify it Solid or Safe Democratic. In the June 2 top-two primary, Rep. Linda Sánchez (D), shifting from CA-38, dominates fundraising with $721,000 cash-on-hand versus Hector de la Torre's $433,000 and Republican Mitch Clemmons' zero reported; two Democrats are poised to advance. Trader consensus at 92% Democratic reflects this structural edge, though primary upsets, nominee scandals, or midterm turnout shifts could challenge it.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-41 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$5,146结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:29 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Redistricting under Proposition 50, approved in November 2025, redrew California's 41st Congressional District to encompass Democratic-leaning southeast Los Angeles County suburbs like Downey and Whittier, yielding a D+9 partisan index where Kamala Harris captured 56% in 2024. Ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify it Solid or Safe Democratic. In the June 2 top-two primary, Rep. Linda Sánchez (D), shifting from CA-38, dominates fundraising with $721,000 cash-on-hand versus Hector de la Torre's $433,000 and Republican Mitch Clemmons' zero reported; two Democrats are poised to advance. Trader consensus at 92% Democratic reflects this structural edge, though primary upsets, nominee scandals, or midterm turnout shifts could challenge it.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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