Incumbent Republican Scott Fitzgerald's strong reelection prospects in the solidly Republican WI-05 (Cook PVI R+11, rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report) underpin trader consensus pricing Republicans at 86.5%, reflecting the district's consistent GOP dominance—Fitzgerald won 64% in 2024 against Democrat Ben Steinhoff, who is seeking a rematch alongside Andrew Beck in the August 11 Democratic primary. No polls have emerged for 2026, and Milwaukee suburbs' slight leftward trend has not threatened the seat, with Fitzgerald unopposed so far in the GOP primary ahead of the June 1 filing deadline. Odds hold steady absent competitive challengers or national midterm shifts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
共和党
87%
民主党
12%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
共和党
$0 交易量
87%
民主党
$0 交易量
12%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Scott Fitzgerald's strong reelection prospects in the solidly Republican WI-05 (Cook PVI R+11, rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report) underpin trader consensus pricing Republicans at 86.5%, reflecting the district's consistent GOP dominance—Fitzgerald won 64% in 2024 against Democrat Ben Steinhoff, who is seeking a rematch alongside Andrew Beck in the August 11 Democratic primary. No polls have emerged for 2026, and Milwaukee suburbs' slight leftward trend has not threatened the seat, with Fitzgerald unopposed so far in the GOP primary ahead of the June 1 filing deadline. Odds hold steady absent competitive challengers or national midterm shifts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
Nov 3, 2026市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Scott Fitzgerald's strong reelection prospects in the solidly Republican WI-05 (Cook PVI R+11, rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report) underpin trader consensus pricing Republicans at 86.5%, reflecting the district's consistent GOP dominance—Fitzgerald won 64% in 2024 against Democrat Ben Steinhoff, who is seeking a rematch alongside Andrew Beck in the August 11 Democratic primary. No polls have emerged for 2026, and Milwaukee suburbs' slight leftward trend has not threatened the seat, with Fitzgerald unopposed so far in the GOP primary ahead of the June 1 filing deadline. Odds hold steady absent competitive challengers or national midterm shifts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$0结束日期
Nov 3, 2026市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Scott Fitzgerald's strong reelection prospects in the solidly Republican WI-05 (Cook PVI R+11, rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report) underpin trader consensus pricing Republicans at 86.5%, reflecting the district's consistent GOP dominance—Fitzgerald won 64% in 2024 against Democrat Ben Steinhoff, who is seeking a rematch alongside Andrew Beck in the August 11 Democratic primary. No polls have emerged for 2026, and Milwaukee suburbs' slight leftward trend has not threatened the seat, with Fitzgerald unopposed so far in the GOP primary ahead of the June 1 filing deadline. Odds hold steady absent competitive challengers or national midterm shifts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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