Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 94.8% to retain California's 34th Congressional District House seat, reflecting the district's D+28 partisan voting index, Solid Democratic ratings from Cook Political Report and others, and historical top-two primary outcomes advancing Democrats to the general election. Incumbent Jimmy Gomez dominates fundraising with over $795,000 raised and $654,000 cash on hand as of late 2025, far outpacing five challengers—including sole Republican Calvin Lee with no reported funds—following the March 6 filing deadline. The June 2 top-two primary looms as the next catalyst, likely pitting two Democrats against each other in November. Scenarios to upend this include a GOP primary surge, Gomez scandal, or national Republican midterm wave, though structural barriers remain high.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$19,667 交易量
$19,667 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
95%
共和党
3%
$19,667 交易量
$19,667 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$6,837 交易量
95%
共和党
$12,830 交易量
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-34 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 94.8% to retain California's 34th Congressional District House seat, reflecting the district's D+28 partisan voting index, Solid Democratic ratings from Cook Political Report and others, and historical top-two primary outcomes advancing Democrats to the general election. Incumbent Jimmy Gomez dominates fundraising with over $795,000 raised and $654,000 cash on hand as of late 2025, far outpacing five challengers—including sole Republican Calvin Lee with no reported funds—following the March 6 filing deadline. The June 2 top-two primary looms as the next catalyst, likely pitting two Democrats against each other in November. Scenarios to upend this include a GOP primary surge, Gomez scandal, or national Republican midterm wave, though structural barriers remain high.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-34 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
交易量
$19,667结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-34 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 94.8% to retain California's 34th Congressional District House seat, reflecting the district's D+28 partisan voting index, Solid Democratic ratings from Cook Political Report and others, and historical top-two primary outcomes advancing Democrats to the general election. Incumbent Jimmy Gomez dominates fundraising with over $795,000 raised and $654,000 cash on hand as of late 2025, far outpacing five challengers—including sole Republican Calvin Lee with no reported funds—following the March 6 filing deadline. The June 2 top-two primary looms as the next catalyst, likely pitting two Democrats against each other in November. Scenarios to upend this include a GOP primary surge, Gomez scandal, or national Republican midterm wave, though structural barriers remain high.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-34 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$19,667结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 94.8% to retain California's 34th Congressional District House seat, reflecting the district's D+28 partisan voting index, Solid Democratic ratings from Cook Political Report and others, and historical top-two primary outcomes advancing Democrats to the general election. Incumbent Jimmy Gomez dominates fundraising with over $795,000 raised and $654,000 cash on hand as of late 2025, far outpacing five challengers—including sole Republican Calvin Lee with no reported funds—following the March 6 filing deadline. The June 2 top-two primary looms as the next catalyst, likely pitting two Democrats against each other in November. Scenarios to upend this include a GOP primary surge, Gomez scandal, or national Republican midterm wave, though structural barriers remain high.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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