Trader consensus prices the Democratic Party at 51.5% and Republicans at 48% in the TX-15 House race, reflecting a closely contested matchup between Tejano musician Bobby Pulido, who won the March 3 Democratic primary by a 68%-32% landslide amid doubled Democratic turnout in South Texas, and incumbent Rep. Monica De La Cruz (R), who advanced unopposed. The district's R+7 partisan lean and De La Cruz's prior wins (57% in 2024) favor Republicans, but Pulido's local celebrity and enthusiasm among Latino voters in this border battleground narrow the gap, as shown in a recent Democratic-sponsored poll (De La Cruz 41%, Pulido 38%). Fundraising advantages for De La Cruz ($1.9 million cash on hand) versus Pulido ($283,000) and national generic ballot trends could tip the balance ahead of the November 3 general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于NEW
NEW
Nov 4, 2026
民主党
52%
共和党
47%
NEW
NEW
Nov 4, 2026
民主党
$438 交易量
52%
共和党
$0 交易量
47%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus prices the Democratic Party at 51.5% and Republicans at 48% in the TX-15 House race, reflecting a closely contested matchup between Tejano musician Bobby Pulido, who won the March 3 Democratic primary by a 68%-32% landslide amid doubled Democratic turnout in South Texas, and incumbent Rep. Monica De La Cruz (R), who advanced unopposed. The district's R+7 partisan lean and De La Cruz's prior wins (57% in 2024) favor Republicans, but Pulido's local celebrity and enthusiasm among Latino voters in this border battleground narrow the gap, as shown in a recent Democratic-sponsored poll (De La Cruz 41%, Pulido 38%). Fundraising advantages for De La Cruz ($1.9 million cash on hand) versus Pulido ($283,000) and national generic ballot trends could tip the balance ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ET
交易量
$438结束日期
Nov 4, 2026市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus prices the Democratic Party at 51.5% and Republicans at 48% in the TX-15 House race, reflecting a closely contested matchup between Tejano musician Bobby Pulido, who won the March 3 Democratic primary by a 68%-32% landslide amid doubled Democratic turnout in South Texas, and incumbent Rep. Monica De La Cruz (R), who advanced unopposed. The district's R+7 partisan lean and De La Cruz's prior wins (57% in 2024) favor Republicans, but Pulido's local celebrity and enthusiasm among Latino voters in this border battleground narrow the gap, as shown in a recent Democratic-sponsored poll (De La Cruz 41%, Pulido 38%). Fundraising advantages for De La Cruz ($1.9 million cash on hand) versus Pulido ($283,000) and national generic ballot trends could tip the balance ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$438结束日期
Nov 4, 2026市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus prices the Democratic Party at 51.5% and Republicans at 48% in the TX-15 House race, reflecting a closely contested matchup between Tejano musician Bobby Pulido, who won the March 3 Democratic primary by a 68%-32% landslide amid doubled Democratic turnout in South Texas, and incumbent Rep. Monica De La Cruz (R), who advanced unopposed. The district's R+7 partisan lean and De La Cruz's prior wins (57% in 2024) favor Republicans, but Pulido's local celebrity and enthusiasm among Latino voters in this border battleground narrow the gap, as shown in a recent Democratic-sponsored poll (De La Cruz 41%, Pulido 38%). Fundraising advantages for De La Cruz ($1.9 million cash on hand) versus Pulido ($283,000) and national generic ballot trends could tip the balance ahead of the November 3 general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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