The March 3 Texas primaries solidified a high-profile TX-15 general election matchup between incumbent Republican Monica De La Cruz, who ran unopposed, and Democratic nominee Bobby Pulido, the Tejano musician who won his primary by a 36-point landslide over emergency physician Ada Cuellar. This South Texas battleground district, with its large Hispanic electorate along the border, sees traders pricing Democrats at 52% implied probability due to Pulido's built-in name recognition, cultural resonance, and retail campaigning, slightly offsetting De La Cruz's incumbency and past narrow victories. Recent candidate spats, including De La Cruz's quinceañera comment drawing rebuttals, have amplified visibility amid Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee targeting, but absent fresh polling, the race remains tightly contested ahead of November early voting and national midterm dynamics like turnout among key voting blocs.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于NEW
NEW
Nov 4, 2026
民主党
52%
共和党
48%
NEW
NEW
Nov 4, 2026
民主党
$438 交易量
52%
共和党
$0 交易量
48%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The March 3 Texas primaries solidified a high-profile TX-15 general election matchup between incumbent Republican Monica De La Cruz, who ran unopposed, and Democratic nominee Bobby Pulido, the Tejano musician who won his primary by a 36-point landslide over emergency physician Ada Cuellar. This South Texas battleground district, with its large Hispanic electorate along the border, sees traders pricing Democrats at 52% implied probability due to Pulido's built-in name recognition, cultural resonance, and retail campaigning, slightly offsetting De La Cruz's incumbency and past narrow victories. Recent candidate spats, including De La Cruz's quinceañera comment drawing rebuttals, have amplified visibility amid Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee targeting, but absent fresh polling, the race remains tightly contested ahead of November early voting and national midterm dynamics like turnout among key voting blocs.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ET
交易量
$438结束日期
Nov 4, 2026市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The March 3 Texas primaries solidified a high-profile TX-15 general election matchup between incumbent Republican Monica De La Cruz, who ran unopposed, and Democratic nominee Bobby Pulido, the Tejano musician who won his primary by a 36-point landslide over emergency physician Ada Cuellar. This South Texas battleground district, with its large Hispanic electorate along the border, sees traders pricing Democrats at 52% implied probability due to Pulido's built-in name recognition, cultural resonance, and retail campaigning, slightly offsetting De La Cruz's incumbency and past narrow victories. Recent candidate spats, including De La Cruz's quinceañera comment drawing rebuttals, have amplified visibility amid Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee targeting, but absent fresh polling, the race remains tightly contested ahead of November early voting and national midterm dynamics like turnout among key voting blocs.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$438结束日期
Nov 4, 2026市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The March 3 Texas primaries solidified a high-profile TX-15 general election matchup between incumbent Republican Monica De La Cruz, who ran unopposed, and Democratic nominee Bobby Pulido, the Tejano musician who won his primary by a 36-point landslide over emergency physician Ada Cuellar. This South Texas battleground district, with its large Hispanic electorate along the border, sees traders pricing Democrats at 52% implied probability due to Pulido's built-in name recognition, cultural resonance, and retail campaigning, slightly offsetting De La Cruz's incumbency and past narrow victories. Recent candidate spats, including De La Cruz's quinceañera comment drawing rebuttals, have amplified visibility amid Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee targeting, but absent fresh polling, the race remains tightly contested ahead of November early voting and national midterm dynamics like turnout among key voting blocs.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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