In this South Texas congressional district, the narrow trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee over the Republican incumbent stems from Bobby Pulido's strong March primary performance against a field of newcomers and the area's shifting Hispanic voter base. Monica De La Cruz, first elected in 2022, holds advantages from incumbency and established fundraising, yet faces a competitive general election landscape where turnout among working-class and border communities could determine the outcome. With the November 2026 vote still months away, key variables include national midterm sentiment, candidate messaging on economic issues and border security, and any late endorsements or polling shifts that could widen the gap in either direction.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-04
共和党
47%
民主党
48%
最新
最新
2026-11-04
共和党
$1,207 交易量
47%
民主党
$1,030 交易量
48%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).In this South Texas congressional district, the narrow trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee over the Republican incumbent stems from Bobby Pulido's strong March primary performance against a field of newcomers and the area's shifting Hispanic voter base. Monica De La Cruz, first elected in 2022, holds advantages from incumbency and established fundraising, yet faces a competitive general election landscape where turnout among working-class and border communities could determine the outcome. With the November 2026 vote still months away, key variables include national midterm sentiment, candidate messaging on economic issues and border security, and any late endorsements or polling shifts that could widen the gap in either direction.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ET
交易量
$2,237结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).In this South Texas congressional district, the narrow trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee over the Republican incumbent stems from Bobby Pulido's strong March primary performance against a field of newcomers and the area's shifting Hispanic voter base. Monica De La Cruz, first elected in 2022, holds advantages from incumbency and established fundraising, yet faces a competitive general election landscape where turnout among working-class and border communities could determine the outcome. With the November 2026 vote still months away, key variables include national midterm sentiment, candidate messaging on economic issues and border security, and any late endorsements or polling shifts that could widen the gap in either direction.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$2,237结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...In this South Texas congressional district, the narrow trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee over the Republican incumbent stems from Bobby Pulido's strong March primary performance against a field of newcomers and the area's shifting Hispanic voter base. Monica De La Cruz, first elected in 2022, holds advantages from incumbency and established fundraising, yet faces a competitive general election landscape where turnout among working-class and border communities could determine the outcome. With the November 2026 vote still months away, key variables include national midterm sentiment, candidate messaging on economic issues and border security, and any late endorsements or polling shifts that could widen the gap in either direction.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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