The tight market odds for the Texas 15th congressional district reflect its status as one of the state's more competitive House seats heading into the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Republican Monica De La Cruz, who won the seat in 2022 and ran unopposed in the March 3 Republican primary, faces Democratic nominee Bobby Pulido, a Tejano musician who secured his party's nomination with a decisive primary victory. South Texas demographics, including a large Hispanic electorate and shifting voter patterns, sustain the contest's closeness, while limited recent polling shows only modest leads for the incumbent. No major campaign developments have emerged since the primaries to shift trader consensus, leaving the race sensitive to broader midterm dynamics and turnout in this battleground district.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-04
民主党
43%
共和党
43%
最新
最新
2026-11-04
民主党
$1,035 交易量
43%
共和党
$1,207 交易量
43%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The tight market odds for the Texas 15th congressional district reflect its status as one of the state's more competitive House seats heading into the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Republican Monica De La Cruz, who won the seat in 2022 and ran unopposed in the March 3 Republican primary, faces Democratic nominee Bobby Pulido, a Tejano musician who secured his party's nomination with a decisive primary victory. South Texas demographics, including a large Hispanic electorate and shifting voter patterns, sustain the contest's closeness, while limited recent polling shows only modest leads for the incumbent. No major campaign developments have emerged since the primaries to shift trader consensus, leaving the race sensitive to broader midterm dynamics and turnout in this battleground district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ET
交易量
$2,242结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The tight market odds for the Texas 15th congressional district reflect its status as one of the state's more competitive House seats heading into the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Republican Monica De La Cruz, who won the seat in 2022 and ran unopposed in the March 3 Republican primary, faces Democratic nominee Bobby Pulido, a Tejano musician who secured his party's nomination with a decisive primary victory. South Texas demographics, including a large Hispanic electorate and shifting voter patterns, sustain the contest's closeness, while limited recent polling shows only modest leads for the incumbent. No major campaign developments have emerged since the primaries to shift trader consensus, leaving the race sensitive to broader midterm dynamics and turnout in this battleground district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$2,242结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The tight market odds for the Texas 15th congressional district reflect its status as one of the state's more competitive House seats heading into the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Republican Monica De La Cruz, who won the seat in 2022 and ran unopposed in the March 3 Republican primary, faces Democratic nominee Bobby Pulido, a Tejano musician who secured his party's nomination with a decisive primary victory. South Texas demographics, including a large Hispanic electorate and shifting voter patterns, sustain the contest's closeness, while limited recent polling shows only modest leads for the incumbent. No major campaign developments have emerged since the primaries to shift trader consensus, leaving the race sensitive to broader midterm dynamics and turnout in this battleground district.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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