Trader consensus prices Republican Party victory at 80% in Wisconsin's 8th Congressional District House race, driven by incumbent Tony Wied's reelection campaign in a solidly Republican seat encompassing Green Bay and Appleton. Wied, who secured the district in 2024 following Mike Gallagher's resignation, benefits from incumbency advantages and a partisan voting index favoring Republicans, with no public polls indicating Democratic viability. Three challengers—Rick Crosson, Mark Scheffler, and Katrina deVille—vie in the August 11 Democratic primary, marking the party's first contest there in nearly 20 years, but lack resources to threaten GOP dominance. Absent recent catalysts like scandals or shifts in national midterms momentum, odds reflect historical base rates for safe House incumbents.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
共和党
80%
民主党
20%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
共和党
$0 交易量
80%
民主党
$0 交易量
20%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus prices Republican Party victory at 80% in Wisconsin's 8th Congressional District House race, driven by incumbent Tony Wied's reelection campaign in a solidly Republican seat encompassing Green Bay and Appleton. Wied, who secured the district in 2024 following Mike Gallagher's resignation, benefits from incumbency advantages and a partisan voting index favoring Republicans, with no public polls indicating Democratic viability. Three challengers—Rick Crosson, Mark Scheffler, and Katrina deVille—vie in the August 11 Democratic primary, marking the party's first contest there in nearly 20 years, but lack resources to threaten GOP dominance. Absent recent catalysts like scandals or shifts in national midterms momentum, odds reflect historical base rates for safe House incumbents.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
Nov 3, 2026市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus prices Republican Party victory at 80% in Wisconsin's 8th Congressional District House race, driven by incumbent Tony Wied's reelection campaign in a solidly Republican seat encompassing Green Bay and Appleton. Wied, who secured the district in 2024 following Mike Gallagher's resignation, benefits from incumbency advantages and a partisan voting index favoring Republicans, with no public polls indicating Democratic viability. Three challengers—Rick Crosson, Mark Scheffler, and Katrina deVille—vie in the August 11 Democratic primary, marking the party's first contest there in nearly 20 years, but lack resources to threaten GOP dominance. Absent recent catalysts like scandals or shifts in national midterms momentum, odds reflect historical base rates for safe House incumbents.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$0结束日期
Nov 3, 2026市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus prices Republican Party victory at 80% in Wisconsin's 8th Congressional District House race, driven by incumbent Tony Wied's reelection campaign in a solidly Republican seat encompassing Green Bay and Appleton. Wied, who secured the district in 2024 following Mike Gallagher's resignation, benefits from incumbency advantages and a partisan voting index favoring Republicans, with no public polls indicating Democratic viability. Three challengers—Rick Crosson, Mark Scheffler, and Katrina deVille—vie in the August 11 Democratic primary, marking the party's first contest there in nearly 20 years, but lack resources to threaten GOP dominance. Absent recent catalysts like scandals or shifts in national midterms momentum, odds reflect historical base rates for safe House incumbents.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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