Trader consensus prices a Democratic win at 74.5% in Maine's 2026 U.S. Senate race, driven by recent polling showing a substantial edge over incumbent Republican Sen. Susan Collins, who announced her re-election bid in February. An Emerson College survey from March 21-23 found Democratic primary frontrunner Graham Platner leading Collins 55%-28%, while the RealClearPolling average stands at 52%-33% favoring Democrats; these margins reflect Collins' vulnerability in the blue-leaning state amid midterm dynamics historically unfavorable to the president's party. Maine's June 9 Democratic primary remains competitive but tilted toward Platner over Gov. Janet Mills, with ranked-choice voting in November potentially amplifying moderate appeal. Upcoming primary results and national Senate control battles could shift odds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于$48,745 交易量
$48,745 交易量

民主党
75%

共和党
25%
$48,745 交易量
$48,745 交易量

民主党
75%

共和党
25%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间: Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus prices a Democratic win at 74.5% in Maine's 2026 U.S. Senate race, driven by recent polling showing a substantial edge over incumbent Republican Sen. Susan Collins, who announced her re-election bid in February. An Emerson College survey from March 21-23 found Democratic primary frontrunner Graham Platner leading Collins 55%-28%, while the RealClearPolling average stands at 52%-33% favoring Democrats; these margins reflect Collins' vulnerability in the blue-leaning state amid midterm dynamics historically unfavorable to the president's party. Maine's June 9 Democratic primary remains competitive but tilted toward Platner over Gov. Janet Mills, with ranked-choice voting in November potentially amplifying moderate appeal. Upcoming primary results and national Senate control battles could shift odds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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