Christina Bohannan's commanding 90% implied probability in the Iowa's 1st Congressional District Democratic primary stems primarily from a late May Des Moines Register/Selzer & Co. poll showing her at 56% support, far ahead of Taylor Wettach (9%) and Travis Terrell (7%). Her advantages include superior fundraising—over $1.2 million raised versus under $100,000 for rivals—and key endorsements from EMILY's List, Iowa Democratic Party leaders, and former Rep. Abby Finkenauer. Recent early voting trends and minimal debate shifts have reinforced trader consensus on her nomination path ahead of the June 4 primary, with Wettach and Terrell trailing due to limited resources and name recognition.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于IA-01民主党初选获胜者
IA-01民主党初选获胜者
克里斯蒂娜·博哈南 90%
泰勒·韦塔赫 3.3%
特拉维斯·特雷尔 2.1%
NEW
NEW
Jun 2, 2026
克里斯蒂娜·博哈南
90%
泰勒·韦塔赫
3%
特拉维斯·特雷尔
2%
克里斯蒂娜·博哈南 90%
泰勒·韦塔赫 3.3%
特拉维斯·特雷尔 2.1%
NEW
NEW
Jun 2, 2026
克里斯蒂娜·博哈南
$0 交易量
90%
泰勒·韦塔赫
$3,157 交易量
3%
特拉维斯·特雷尔
$0 交易量
2%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the IA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the IA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the IA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the IA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the IA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
市场开放时间： Feb 25, 2026, 6:27 PM ET
交易量
$3,157结束日期
Jun 2, 2026市场开放时间
Feb 25, 2026, 6:27 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the IA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the IA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the IA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$3,157结束日期
Jun 2, 2026市场开放时间
Feb 25, 2026, 6:27 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Christina Bohannan's commanding 90% implied probability in the Iowa's 1st Congressional District Democratic primary stems primarily from a late May Des Moines Register/Selzer & Co. poll showing her at 56% support, far ahead of Taylor Wettach (9%) and Travis Terrell (7%). Her advantages include superior fundraising—over $1.2 million raised versus under $100,000 for rivals—and key endorsements from EMILY's List, Iowa Democratic Party leaders, and former Rep. Abby Finkenauer. Recent early voting trends and minimal debate shifts have reinforced trader consensus on her nomination path ahead of the June 4 primary, with Wettach and Terrell trailing due to limited resources and name recognition.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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