Mark Lamb dominates trader consensus at 88% implied probability to win Arizona's 5th Congressional District Republican primary on July 30, fueled by consistent double-digit leads in polls over the past two weeks, including a GOP firm Fabrizio survey showing him at 47% versus Travis Grantham's 15% and Jay Feely's 5%. As Pinal County sheriff, Lamb's record on border security and endorsements from Trump allies have solidified base support in this Phoenix-area battleground, while incumbent Rep. Andy Biggs fades amid weak fundraising. Grantham, state House majority whip, holds second on legislative name recognition, but lacks voter momentum; Feely trails as a celebrity longshot. No major shifts in the last 48 hours, with early voting underway.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于马克·兰姆 88%
Travis Grantham 6.9%
Jay Feely 2.6%
NEW
NEW
Aug 4, 2026
马克·兰姆
88%
Travis Grantham
7%
Jay Feely
3%
马克·兰姆 88%
Travis Grantham 6.9%
Jay Feely 2.6%
NEW
NEW
Aug 4, 2026
马克·兰姆
$0 交易量
88%
Travis Grantham
$607 交易量
7%
Jay Feely
$0 交易量
3%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
市场开放时间： Nov 25, 2025, 5:27 PM ET
交易量
$607结束日期
Aug 4, 2026市场开放时间
Nov 25, 2025, 5:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$607结束日期
Aug 4, 2026市场开放时间
Nov 25, 2025, 5:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Mark Lamb dominates trader consensus at 88% implied probability to win Arizona's 5th Congressional District Republican primary on July 30, fueled by consistent double-digit leads in polls over the past two weeks, including a GOP firm Fabrizio survey showing him at 47% versus Travis Grantham's 15% and Jay Feely's 5%. As Pinal County sheriff, Lamb's record on border security and endorsements from Trump allies have solidified base support in this Phoenix-area battleground, while incumbent Rep. Andy Biggs fades amid weak fundraising. Grantham, state House majority whip, holds second on legislative name recognition, but lacks voter momentum; Feely trails as a celebrity longshot. No major shifts in the last 48 hours, with early voting underway.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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