Jeremy Moss leads Polymarket trader consensus at 78.5% for the MI-11 Democratic primary, reflecting his incumbency as state senator, dominant fundraising with over $600,000 cash on hand per recent filings, and consistent poll advantages including a Glengariff survey showing him at 65% support. Andy Levin trails at 8.5%, buoyed by residual name recognition from his prior congressional bids but hampered by weaker grassroots organization and lower donor totals. Aisha Farooqi (4.8%) and Dave Woodward (2.4%) linger as longshots amid limited visibility. Recent EMILYs List endorsement for Moss and Levin's campaign finance disclosure lag have widened the gap, with Michigan's August 6 primary looming as the next catalyst for shifts.