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政治·AG

Texas Attorney General Republican Primary Runoff Winner

Market icon
政治·AG

Texas Attorney General Republican Primary Runoff Winner

NEW
Polymarket
NEW

Mayes Middleton

$0 交易量

73%

Chip Roy

$0 交易量

41%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Texas Republican Primary runoff election for state Attorney General, scheduled for May 26, 2026. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Texas Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Mayes Middleton commands 72.5% implied probability as the Texas Attorney General Republican primary runoff winner on Polymarket, reflecting trader consensus on his strong launch into the 2026 race last July, bolstered by fundraising momentum and alignment with GOP priorities on border security and conservative judicial stances from his state House record. Chip Roy trails at 42%, buoyed by his congressional profile on fiscal conservatism but lacking a formal announcement, keeping odds competitive in this early market. Absent recent polls, pricing draws from historical Texas GOP primary patterns favoring legislative insiders over congressional jump-ins; key upcoming catalysts include candidate filings by December, major endorsements from Gov. Abbott or AG Paxton, and initial polling that could realign skin-in-the-game assessments before the March 2026 primary.

Mayes Middleton commands 72.5% implied probability as the Texas Attorney General Republican primary runoff winner on Polymarket, reflecting trader consensus on his strong launch into the 2026 race last July, bolstered by fundraising momentum and alignment with GOP priorities on border security and conservative judicial stances from his state House record. Chip Roy trails at 42%, buoyed by his congressional profile on fiscal conservatism but lacking a formal announcement, keeping odds competitive in this early market. Absent recent polls, pricing draws from historical Texas GOP primary patterns favoring legislative insiders over congressional jump-ins; key upcoming catalysts include candidate filings by December, major endorsements from Gov. Abbott or AG Paxton, and initial polling that could realign skin-in-the-game assessments before the March 2026 primary.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Texas Republican Primary runoff election for state Attorney General, scheduled for May 26, 2026. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Texas Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Mayes Middleton commands 72.5% implied probability as the Texas Attorney General Republican primary runoff winner on Polymarket, reflecting trader consensus on his strong launch into the 2026 race last July, bolstered by fundraising momentum and alignment with GOP priorities on border security and conservative judicial stances from his state House record. Chip Roy trails at 42%, buoyed by his congressional profile on fiscal conservatism but lacking a formal announcement, keeping odds competitive in this early market. Absent recent polls, pricing draws from historical Texas GOP primary patterns favoring legislative insiders over congressional jump-ins; key upcoming catalysts include candidate filings by December, major endorsements from Gov. Abbott or AG Paxton, and initial polling that could realign skin-in-the-game assessments before the March 2026 primary.

Mayes Middleton commands 72.5% implied probability as the Texas Attorney General Republican primary runoff winner on Polymarket, reflecting trader consensus on his strong launch into the 2026 race last July, bolstered by fundraising momentum and alignment with GOP priorities on border security and conservative judicial stances from his state House record. Chip Roy trails at 42%, buoyed by his congressional profile on fiscal conservatism but lacking a formal announcement, keeping odds competitive in this early market. Absent recent polls, pricing draws from historical Texas GOP primary patterns favoring legislative insiders over congressional jump-ins; key upcoming catalysts include candidate filings by December, major endorsements from Gov. Abbott or AG Paxton, and initial polling that could realign skin-in-the-game assessments before the March 2026 primary.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于

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常见问题

"Texas Attorney General Republican Primary Runoff Winner"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 2 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"Mayes Middleton"，概率为 73%，其次是"Chip Roy"，概率为 41%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 73¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 73%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

"Texas Attorney General Republican Primary Runoff Winner"是 Polymarket 上新创建的市场，于Mar 4, 2026上线。作为一个新市场，这是你率先设定赔率并建立初始价格信号的机会。你也可以将本页加入书签，以便跟踪交易量和活动。

要在"Texas Attorney General Republican Primary Runoff Winner"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 2 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"Texas Attorney General Republican Primary Runoff Winner"的当前领先者是"Mayes Middleton"，概率为 73%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 73%。紧随其后的结果是"Chip Roy"，概率为 41%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"Texas Attorney General Republican Primary Runoff Winner"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。