Incumbent Democrat Jeanne Shaheen's retirement announcement a year ago opened New Hampshire's Senate seat, spurring Rep. Chris Pappas to lead the Democratic primary with 65-71% support in recent UNH and St. Anselm polls, while former Sen. John E. Sununu dominates the Republican primary at 48-49%. Fresh Emerson (March 21-23) and St. Anselm (March 16-18) surveys show Pappas edging Sununu 45-44% and 46-43% in hypotheticals, with larger leads over Scott Brown, yet trader consensus implies 76% Democratic odds reflecting Pappas's fundraising edge, popularity as a battleground incumbent representative, and New Hampshire's track record of Democratic Senate holds amid independent voter leans. Primaries on September 8 could clarify nominees ahead of the November 3 general.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于$15,605 交易量
$15,605 交易量
Nov 3, 2026
民主党
76%
共和党
26%
$15,605 交易量
$15,605 交易量
Nov 3, 2026
民主党
$10,509 交易量
76%
共和党
$5,096 交易量
26%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm New Hampshire U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democrat Jeanne Shaheen's retirement announcement a year ago opened New Hampshire's Senate seat, spurring Rep. Chris Pappas to lead the Democratic primary with 65-71% support in recent UNH and St. Anselm polls, while former Sen. John E. Sununu dominates the Republican primary at 48-49%. Fresh Emerson (March 21-23) and St. Anselm (March 16-18) surveys show Pappas edging Sununu 45-44% and 46-43% in hypotheticals, with larger leads over Scott Brown, yet trader consensus implies 76% Democratic odds reflecting Pappas's fundraising edge, popularity as a battleground incumbent representative, and New Hampshire's track record of Democratic Senate holds amid independent voter leans. Primaries on September 8 could clarify nominees ahead of the November 3 general.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm New Hampshire U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间： Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ET
交易量
$15,605结束日期
Nov 3, 2026市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm New Hampshire U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democrat Jeanne Shaheen's retirement announcement a year ago opened New Hampshire's Senate seat, spurring Rep. Chris Pappas to lead the Democratic primary with 65-71% support in recent UNH and St. Anselm polls, while former Sen. John E. Sununu dominates the Republican primary at 48-49%. Fresh Emerson (March 21-23) and St. Anselm (March 16-18) surveys show Pappas edging Sununu 45-44% and 46-43% in hypotheticals, with larger leads over Scott Brown, yet trader consensus implies 76% Democratic odds reflecting Pappas's fundraising edge, popularity as a battleground incumbent representative, and New Hampshire's track record of Democratic Senate holds amid independent voter leans. Primaries on September 8 could clarify nominees ahead of the November 3 general.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm New Hampshire U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$15,605结束日期
Nov 3, 2026市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Jeanne Shaheen's retirement announcement a year ago opened New Hampshire's Senate seat, spurring Rep. Chris Pappas to lead the Democratic primary with 65-71% support in recent UNH and St. Anselm polls, while former Sen. John E. Sununu dominates the Republican primary at 48-49%. Fresh Emerson (March 21-23) and St. Anselm (March 16-18) surveys show Pappas edging Sununu 45-44% and 46-43% in hypotheticals, with larger leads over Scott Brown, yet trader consensus implies 76% Democratic odds reflecting Pappas's fundraising edge, popularity as a battleground incumbent representative, and New Hampshire's track record of Democratic Senate holds amid independent voter leans. Primaries on September 8 could clarify nominees ahead of the November 3 general.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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