Incumbent Rep. Mike Thompson (D) dominates the June 2 top-two primary for California's 4th Congressional District, bolstered by over $2.5 million cash on hand, Democratic Party of California endorsement, and recent backing from the Sacramento Bee editorial board amid ballots mailing this week for early voting starting May 4. Progressive challenger Eric Jones (D), with $1.4 million cash raised largely from Silicon Valley donors rejecting corporate PACs, poses the main Democratic threat but trails in party support following earlier backlash. A fragmented Republican field of six candidates, including small-business owner Raymond Riehle, lacks competitive fundraising, likely ensuring the top two advance as Democrats in this D+17 leaning district reshaped by 2025's Proposition 50 redistricting. No recent polls available; outcome hinges on turnout in the final weeks before polls close June 2.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$23,059 交易量
迈克·汤普森
98%
Eric Jones
91%
特雷弗·梅雷尔
12%
希斯·富克森
9%
莎伦·布朗
8%
约翰·韦斯利·泰勒
8%
Mandy Ghusar
6%
劳丽·麦肯齐
4%
$23,059 交易量
迈克·汤普森
98%
Eric Jones
91%
特雷弗·梅雷尔
12%
希斯·富克森
9%
莎伦·布朗
8%
约翰·韦斯利·泰勒
8%
Mandy Ghusar
6%
劳丽·麦肯齐
4%
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
市场开放时间: Feb 26, 2026, 5:37 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Incumbent Rep. Mike Thompson (D) dominates the June 2 top-two primary for California's 4th Congressional District, bolstered by over $2.5 million cash on hand, Democratic Party of California endorsement, and recent backing from the Sacramento Bee editorial board amid ballots mailing this week for early voting starting May 4. Progressive challenger Eric Jones (D), with $1.4 million cash raised largely from Silicon Valley donors rejecting corporate PACs, poses the main Democratic threat but trails in party support following earlier backlash. A fragmented Republican field of six candidates, including small-business owner Raymond Riehle, lacks competitive fundraising, likely ensuring the top two advance as Democrats in this D+17 leaning district reshaped by 2025's Proposition 50 redistricting. No recent polls available; outcome hinges on turnout in the final weeks before polls close June 2.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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