Incumbent Democrat Mike Thompson holds a commanding position in California's 4th congressional district top-two primary scheduled for June 2, 2026, reflecting his long tenure representing the Napa and Gold Country area and consistent fundraising edge. Democratic challenger Eric Jones, a businessman and nonprofit executive endorsed by figures such as Bernie Sanders, has emerged as the main intra-party competitor, drawing attention in local media and donor circles. Several Republicans, including nurses and business owners, also appear on the ballot but face the district's strong Democratic lean. The race remains low-drama heading into election day, with no major late developments altering the established candidate field or procedural timeline.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$32,174 交易量
迈克·汤普森
96%
Eric Jones
92%
约翰·韦斯利·泰勒
8%
希斯·富克森
5%
劳丽·麦肯齐
5%
莎伦·布朗
2%
特雷弗·梅雷尔
1%
Mandy Ghusar
<1%
$32,174 交易量
迈克·汤普森
96%
Eric Jones
92%
约翰·韦斯利·泰勒
8%
希斯·富克森
5%
劳丽·麦肯齐
5%
莎伦·布朗
2%
特雷弗·梅雷尔
1%
Mandy Ghusar
<1%
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
市场开放时间: Feb 26, 2026, 5:37 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Incumbent Democrat Mike Thompson holds a commanding position in California's 4th congressional district top-two primary scheduled for June 2, 2026, reflecting his long tenure representing the Napa and Gold Country area and consistent fundraising edge. Democratic challenger Eric Jones, a businessman and nonprofit executive endorsed by figures such as Bernie Sanders, has emerged as the main intra-party competitor, drawing attention in local media and donor circles. Several Republicans, including nurses and business owners, also appear on the ballot but face the district's strong Democratic lean. The race remains low-drama heading into election day, with no major late developments altering the established candidate field or procedural timeline.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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