Trader consensus on Polymarket prices "No" at 66.5% for the 2026 Billionaire Tax Act—a proposed one-time 5% wealth tax on California billionaires' net worth—reflecting doubts about its qualification for the November ballot and voter passage. Proponents have collected only about 25% of the roughly 875,000 required signatures as of early March, with a June deadline looming amid reports of signature-gathering challenges. Early UC Berkeley polling showed 50% support but soft backing among Democrats and strong Republican opposition, diverging from trader skepticism fueled by billionaire-funded counter-campaigns like Building A Better California's $35 million effort and six high-profile exits eroding projected $100 billion revenue. Constitutional valuation issues and historical resistance to wealth taxes further temper expectations ahead of the general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于是
$2,838,389 交易量
$2,838,389 交易量
2026-11-03
是
$2,838,389 交易量
$2,838,389 交易量
2026-11-03
A one-time wealth tax on billionaires has been proposed to potentially appear on California's ballot for the November 3, 2026 general election. You can read more about that here: https://6abc.com/post/california-union-proposes-taxing-billionaires-offset-medicaid-cuts-low-income-people/18066430/
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any proposition containing a one-time tax targeting individuals, households, or family units with wealth, assets, or net worth of at least $1 billion (USD or equivalent) passes in the named election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no qualifying ballot initiative is certified to appear on the official statewide California ballot as a proposition to be voted on in the stated election by June 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (the official cutoff date for new initiatives to be approved), or if all qualifying propositions/initiatives are removed from the ballot or amended before the election such that the main threshold drops below $1 billion, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the State of California, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices "No" at 66.5% for the 2026 Billionaire Tax Act—a proposed one-time 5% wealth tax on California billionaires' net worth—reflecting doubts about its qualification for the November ballot and voter passage. Proponents have collected only about 25% of the roughly 875,000 required signatures as of early March, with a June deadline looming amid reports of signature-gathering challenges. Early UC Berkeley polling showed 50% support but soft backing among Democrats and strong Republican opposition, diverging from trader skepticism fueled by billionaire-funded counter-campaigns like Building A Better California's $35 million effort and six high-profile exits eroding projected $100 billion revenue. Constitutional valuation issues and historical resistance to wealth taxes further temper expectations ahead of the general election.
A one-time wealth tax on billionaires has been proposed to potentially appear on California's ballot for the November 3, 2026 general election. You can read more about that here: https://6abc.com/post/california-union-proposes-taxing-billionaires-offset-medicaid-cuts-low-income-people/18066430/
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any proposition containing a one-time tax targeting individuals, households, or family units with wealth, assets, or net worth of at least $1 billion (USD or equivalent) passes in the named election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no qualifying ballot initiative is certified to appear on the official statewide California ballot as a proposition to be voted on in the stated election by June 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (the official cutoff date for new initiatives to be approved), or if all qualifying propositions/initiatives are removed from the ballot or amended before the election such that the main threshold drops below $1 billion, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the State of California, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any proposition containing a one-time tax targeting individuals, households, or family units with wealth, assets, or net worth of at least $1 billion (USD or equivalent) passes in the named election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no qualifying ballot initiative is certified to appear on the official statewide California ballot as a proposition to be voted on in the stated election by June 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (the official cutoff date for new initiatives to be approved), or if all qualifying propositions/initiatives are removed from the ballot or amended before the election such that the main threshold drops below $1 billion, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the State of California, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Oct 24, 2025, 3:48 PM ET
交易量
$2,838,389结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 24, 2025, 3:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...A one-time wealth tax on billionaires has been proposed to potentially appear on California's ballot for the November 3, 2026 general election. You can read more about that here: https://6abc.com/post/california-union-proposes-taxing-billionaires-offset-medicaid-cuts-low-income-people/18066430/
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any proposition containing a one-time tax targeting individuals, households, or family units with wealth, assets, or net worth of at least $1 billion (USD or equivalent) passes in the named election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no qualifying ballot initiative is certified to appear on the official statewide California ballot as a proposition to be voted on in the stated election by June 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (the official cutoff date for new initiatives to be approved), or if all qualifying propositions/initiatives are removed from the ballot or amended before the election such that the main threshold drops below $1 billion, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the State of California, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices "No" at 66.5% for the 2026 Billionaire Tax Act—a proposed one-time 5% wealth tax on California billionaires' net worth—reflecting doubts about its qualification for the November ballot and voter passage. Proponents have collected only about 25% of the roughly 875,000 required signatures as of early March, with a June deadline looming amid reports of signature-gathering challenges. Early UC Berkeley polling showed 50% support but soft backing among Democrats and strong Republican opposition, diverging from trader skepticism fueled by billionaire-funded counter-campaigns like Building A Better California's $35 million effort and six high-profile exits eroding projected $100 billion revenue. Constitutional valuation issues and historical resistance to wealth taxes further temper expectations ahead of the general election.
A one-time wealth tax on billionaires has been proposed to potentially appear on California's ballot for the November 3, 2026 general election. You can read more about that here: https://6abc.com/post/california-union-proposes-taxing-billionaires-offset-medicaid-cuts-low-income-people/18066430/
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any proposition containing a one-time tax targeting individuals, households, or family units with wealth, assets, or net worth of at least $1 billion (USD or equivalent) passes in the named election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no qualifying ballot initiative is certified to appear on the official statewide California ballot as a proposition to be voted on in the stated election by June 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (the official cutoff date for new initiatives to be approved), or if all qualifying propositions/initiatives are removed from the ballot or amended before the election such that the main threshold drops below $1 billion, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the State of California, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any proposition containing a one-time tax targeting individuals, households, or family units with wealth, assets, or net worth of at least $1 billion (USD or equivalent) passes in the named election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no qualifying ballot initiative is certified to appear on the official statewide California ballot as a proposition to be voted on in the stated election by June 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (the official cutoff date for new initiatives to be approved), or if all qualifying propositions/initiatives are removed from the ballot or amended before the election such that the main threshold drops below $1 billion, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the State of California, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$2,838,389结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 24, 2025, 3:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices "No" at 66.5% for the 2026 Billionaire Tax Act—a proposed one-time 5% wealth tax on California billionaires' net worth—reflecting doubts about its qualification for the November ballot and voter passage. Proponents have collected only about 25% of the roughly 875,000 required signatures as of early March, with a June deadline looming amid reports of signature-gathering challenges. Early UC Berkeley polling showed 50% support but soft backing among Democrats and strong Republican opposition, diverging from trader skepticism fueled by billionaire-funded counter-campaigns like Building A Better California's $35 million effort and six high-profile exits eroding projected $100 billion revenue. Constitutional valuation issues and historical resistance to wealth taxes further temper expectations ahead of the general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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