Cait Conley secured the Democratic nomination for New York’s 17th Congressional District on June 23 with roughly 49-51% of the vote, producing an approximately 18-point margin over her nearest rival and sweeping all four counties in the district. Multiple candidates split the remaining vote, while Conley benefited from strong fundraising, endorsements from groups such as EMILY’s List, and her profile as a West Point graduate and Army combat veteran with national security experience. These results established the wide margin reflected in current trader consensus. Late-stage vote certification, any formal challenges to the count, or disputes over provisional ballots could still alter the final certified margin, though no such developments have emerged since the election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于康利15%+ 94.0%
康利5–10% 4.0%
康利10-15% <1%
康利 <5% <1%
$55,135 交易量
$55,135 交易量
康利15%+
94%
康利10-15%
1%
康利5–10%
4%
康利 <5%
<1%
康利15%+ 94.0%
康利5–10% 4.0%
康利10-15% <1%
康利 <5% <1%
$55,135 交易量
$55,135 交易量
康利15%+
94%
康利10-15%
1%
康利5–10%
4%
康利 <5%
<1%
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the NY-17 Democratic Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of New York, such as official statewide results published by the New York State Board of Elections (https://elections.ny.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
市场开放时间: Jun 19, 2026, 11:53 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the NY-17 Democratic Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of New York, such as official statewide results published by the New York State Board of Elections (https://elections.ny.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Cait Conley secured the Democratic nomination for New York’s 17th Congressional District on June 23 with roughly 49-51% of the vote, producing an approximately 18-point margin over her nearest rival and sweeping all four counties in the district. Multiple candidates split the remaining vote, while Conley benefited from strong fundraising, endorsements from groups such as EMILY’s List, and her profile as a West Point graduate and Army combat veteran with national security experience. These results established the wide margin reflected in current trader consensus. Late-stage vote certification, any formal challenges to the count, or disputes over provisional ballots could still alter the final certified margin, though no such developments have emerged since the election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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