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政治·主要

路易斯安那州共和党参议院初选获胜者

Market icon
政治·主要

路易斯安那州共和党参议院初选获胜者

朱莉娅·莱特洛 72%

约翰·弗莱明 15.6%

比尔·卡西迪 10%

朱莉·埃默森 <1%

Polymarket

$63,582 交易量

朱莉娅·莱特洛 72%

约翰·弗莱明 15.6%

比尔·卡西迪 10%

朱莉·埃默森 <1%

Polymarket

$63,582 交易量

朱莉娅·莱特洛

$6,892 交易量

72%

约翰·弗莱明

$30,327 交易量

16%

比尔·卡西迪

$26,363 交易量

10%

朱莉·埃默森

$0 交易量

<1%

Blake Miguez

$0 交易量

<1%

塞缪尔“萨米”怀亚特

$0 交易量

<1%

兰德尔·阿灵顿

$0 交易量

<1%

埃里克·斯克梅塔

$0 交易量

<1%

克里斯·霍尔德

$0 交易量

<1%

赞·约翰

$0 交易量

<1%

凯西·塞登

$0 交易量

<1%

Tracy Dendy

$0 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Louisiana. If no 2026 Louisiana Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Louisiana Republican Party; however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Rep. Julia Letlow leads trader consensus at 72% implied probability to win the Louisiana Republican Senate primary for the 2026 U.S. Senate race, reflecting her advantages as a popular incumbent House member from a deep-red district, superior fundraising, and alignment with Trump-aligned GOP voters alienated by Sen. Bill Cassidy's bipartisan record—including his vote to convict former President Trump after January 6. State Treasurer John Fleming trails at 16% as a conservative alternative backed by Trump allies, while Cassidy sits at 9% amid base skepticism. No notable developments in the past 30 days have shifted odds; positioning stems from candidate announcements and early polling trends ahead of Louisiana's October 24, 2026, blanket primary.

Rep. Julia Letlow leads trader consensus at 72% implied probability to win the Louisiana Republican Senate primary for the 2026 U.S. Senate race, reflecting her advantages as a popular incumbent House member from a deep-red district, superior fundraising, and alignment with Trump-aligned GOP voters alienated by Sen. Bill Cassidy's bipartisan record—including his vote to convict former President Trump after January 6. State Treasurer John Fleming trails at 16% as a conservative alternative backed by Trump allies, while Cassidy sits at 9% amid base skepticism. No notable developments in the past 30 days have shifted odds; positioning stems from candidate announcements and early polling trends ahead of Louisiana's October 24, 2026, blanket primary.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Louisiana. If no 2026 Louisiana Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Louisiana Republican Party; however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Rep. Julia Letlow leads trader consensus at 72% implied probability to win the Louisiana Republican Senate primary for the 2026 U.S. Senate race, reflecting her advantages as a popular incumbent House member from a deep-red district, superior fundraising, and alignment with Trump-aligned GOP voters alienated by Sen. Bill Cassidy's bipartisan record—including his vote to convict former President Trump after January 6. State Treasurer John Fleming trails at 16% as a conservative alternative backed by Trump allies, while Cassidy sits at 9% amid base skepticism. No notable developments in the past 30 days have shifted odds; positioning stems from candidate announcements and early polling trends ahead of Louisiana's October 24, 2026, blanket primary.

Rep. Julia Letlow leads trader consensus at 72% implied probability to win the Louisiana Republican Senate primary for the 2026 U.S. Senate race, reflecting her advantages as a popular incumbent House member from a deep-red district, superior fundraising, and alignment with Trump-aligned GOP voters alienated by Sen. Bill Cassidy's bipartisan record—including his vote to convict former President Trump after January 6. State Treasurer John Fleming trails at 16% as a conservative alternative backed by Trump allies, while Cassidy sits at 9% amid base skepticism. No notable developments in the past 30 days have shifted odds; positioning stems from candidate announcements and early polling trends ahead of Louisiana's October 24, 2026, blanket primary.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"路易斯安那州共和党参议院初选获胜者"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 12 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"朱莉娅·莱特洛"，概率为 72%，其次是"约翰·弗莱明"，概率为 16%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 72¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 72%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前，"路易斯安那州共和党参议院初选获胜者"已产生 $63.6K 的总交易量（自Dec 22, 2025市场上线以来）。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与，并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"路易斯安那州共和党参议院初选获胜者"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 12 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"路易斯安那州共和党参议院初选获胜者"的当前领先者是"朱莉娅·莱特洛"，概率为 72%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 72%。紧随其后的结果是"约翰·弗莱明"，概率为 16%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"路易斯安那州共和党参议院初选获胜者"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。