Incumbent Rep. Mike Rogers (R) seeks reelection in Alabama's 3rd Congressional District, a solidly Republican seat with an R+23 Cook Partisan Voter Index, anchoring trader consensus at 93.5% for a GOP victory. Rogers, House Armed Services Committee chair since 2003, boasts over $2.3 million cash on hand after announcing his bid in January 2026, dwarfing challenger Terri LaPoint's $5,300 in the May 19 Republican primary and Democratic nominee Lee McInnis' $9,500. Race ratings from Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball label it Safe Republican amid historical blowouts, like Rogers' 98% 2024 win. Upsets could stem from a primary shock, Rogers scandal, health issue, or national Democratic wave boosting turnout, though barriers remain high pre-June 16 runoff and November 3 general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
共和党
94%
民主党
7%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
共和党
$2,800 交易量
94%
民主党
$0 交易量
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Mike Rogers (R) seeks reelection in Alabama's 3rd Congressional District, a solidly Republican seat with an R+23 Cook Partisan Voter Index, anchoring trader consensus at 93.5% for a GOP victory. Rogers, House Armed Services Committee chair since 2003, boasts over $2.3 million cash on hand after announcing his bid in January 2026, dwarfing challenger Terri LaPoint's $5,300 in the May 19 Republican primary and Democratic nominee Lee McInnis' $9,500. Race ratings from Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball label it Safe Republican amid historical blowouts, like Rogers' 98% 2024 win. Upsets could stem from a primary shock, Rogers scandal, health issue, or national Democratic wave boosting turnout, though barriers remain high pre-June 16 runoff and November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
交易量
$2,800结束日期
Nov 3, 2026市场开放时间
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Mike Rogers (R) seeks reelection in Alabama's 3rd Congressional District, a solidly Republican seat with an R+23 Cook Partisan Voter Index, anchoring trader consensus at 93.5% for a GOP victory. Rogers, House Armed Services Committee chair since 2003, boasts over $2.3 million cash on hand after announcing his bid in January 2026, dwarfing challenger Terri LaPoint's $5,300 in the May 19 Republican primary and Democratic nominee Lee McInnis' $9,500. Race ratings from Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball label it Safe Republican amid historical blowouts, like Rogers' 98% 2024 win. Upsets could stem from a primary shock, Rogers scandal, health issue, or national Democratic wave boosting turnout, though barriers remain high pre-June 16 runoff and November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$2,800结束日期
Nov 3, 2026市场开放时间
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Mike Rogers (R) seeks reelection in Alabama's 3rd Congressional District, a solidly Republican seat with an R+23 Cook Partisan Voter Index, anchoring trader consensus at 93.5% for a GOP victory. Rogers, House Armed Services Committee chair since 2003, boasts over $2.3 million cash on hand after announcing his bid in January 2026, dwarfing challenger Terri LaPoint's $5,300 in the May 19 Republican primary and Democratic nominee Lee McInnis' $9,500. Race ratings from Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball label it Safe Republican amid historical blowouts, like Rogers' 98% 2024 win. Upsets could stem from a primary shock, Rogers scandal, health issue, or national Democratic wave boosting turnout, though barriers remain high pre-June 16 runoff and November 3 general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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