Rhett Marques leads the Alabama 2nd Congressional District race with trader consensus at 71.5% to Shomari Figures’ 26.5% ahead of the November 3 general election. The district’s boundaries were redrawn by state Republicans following a Supreme Court decision, shifting the seat from a Democratic-leaning to a Republican-favorable configuration with a Cook Political Report “Likely Republican” rating. Marques, a state representative endorsed by President Trump, secured the GOP nomination in the August primary and has focused attacks on Figures’ voting record on taxes, stock trading restrictions, and resolutions condemning socialism. Figures, the Democratic incumbent, has emphasized affordability, called for debates that Marques declined, and highlighted Marques’ prior support for gas tax increases. Recent internal polling showed a close contest earlier in the cycle, but the redrawn map and national Republican emphasis on the seat as a potential pickup have shaped the current market positioning.