Trader consensus prices Republicans retaining 190-194 House seats (35.5%) as narrow favorite over below 190 (31.5%) after 2026 midterms, driven by historical patterns where the president's party—here Republicans under Trump—loses an average of 25 seats, offset by GOP-favoring redistricting in battleground states like North Carolina, Florida, and Texas that protect incumbents. From a slim post-2024 majority of 220-215, tight odds reflect uncertainty over economic trends, presidential approval ratings, turnout in swing districts, and early-cycle factors like retirements or fundraising edges. No major catalysts have emerged in Q1 2025, but special elections, polling averages, and primary announcements could tip the balance toward deeper losses or modest holds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于192 seats
190-194 35%
少于190 32%
195-199 12%
205-209 11%
$109,824 交易量
$109,824 交易量
Nov 3, 2026
少于190
32%
190-194
35%
195-199
12%
200-204
9%
205-209
11%
210-214
1%
215-219
1%
220-224
2%
225-229
2%
230+
1%
190-194 35%
少于190 32%
195-199 12%
205-209 11%
$109,824 交易量
$109,824 交易量
Nov 3, 2026
少于190
$8,067 交易量
32%
190-194
$5,001 交易量
35%
195-199
$6,737 交易量
12%
200-204
$3,656 交易量
9%
205-209
$3,768 交易量
11%
210-214
$6,665 交易量
1%
215-219
$4,701 交易量
1%
220-224
$50,072 交易量
2%
225-229
$18,650 交易量
2%
230+
$2,508 交易量
1%
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Republican Party in the US House of Representatives as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all US House of Representatives elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all US House of Representatives elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.Trader consensus prices Republicans retaining 190-194 House seats (35.5%) as narrow favorite over below 190 (31.5%) after 2026 midterms, driven by historical patterns where the president's party—here Republicans under Trump—loses an average of 25 seats, offset by GOP-favoring redistricting in battleground states like North Carolina, Florida, and Texas that protect incumbents. From a slim post-2024 majority of 220-215, tight odds reflect uncertainty over economic trends, presidential approval ratings, turnout in swing districts, and early-cycle factors like retirements or fundraising edges. No major catalysts have emerged in Q1 2025, but special elections, polling averages, and primary announcements could tip the balance toward deeper losses or modest holds.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Republican Party in the US House of Representatives as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all US House of Representatives elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all US House of Representatives elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Republican Party in the US House of Representatives as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all US House of Representatives elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all US House of Representatives elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间： Dec 18, 2025, 8:56 PM ET
交易量
$109,824结束日期
Nov 3, 2026市场开放时间
Dec 18, 2025, 8:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Republican Party in the US House of Representatives as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all US House of Representatives elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all US House of Representatives elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.Trader consensus prices Republicans retaining 190-194 House seats (35.5%) as narrow favorite over below 190 (31.5%) after 2026 midterms, driven by historical patterns where the president's party—here Republicans under Trump—loses an average of 25 seats, offset by GOP-favoring redistricting in battleground states like North Carolina, Florida, and Texas that protect incumbents. From a slim post-2024 majority of 220-215, tight odds reflect uncertainty over economic trends, presidential approval ratings, turnout in swing districts, and early-cycle factors like retirements or fundraising edges. No major catalysts have emerged in Q1 2025, but special elections, polling averages, and primary announcements could tip the balance toward deeper losses or modest holds.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Republican Party in the US House of Representatives as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all US House of Representatives elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all US House of Representatives elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Republican Party in the US House of Representatives as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all US House of Representatives elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all US House of Representatives elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$109,824结束日期
Nov 3, 2026市场开放时间
Dec 18, 2025, 8:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus prices Republicans retaining 190-194 House seats (35.5%) as narrow favorite over below 190 (31.5%) after 2026 midterms, driven by historical patterns where the president's party—here Republicans under Trump—loses an average of 25 seats, offset by GOP-favoring redistricting in battleground states like North Carolina, Florida, and Texas that protect incumbents. From a slim post-2024 majority of 220-215, tight odds reflect uncertainty over economic trends, presidential approval ratings, turnout in swing districts, and early-cycle factors like retirements or fundraising edges. No major catalysts have emerged in Q1 2025, but special elections, polling averages, and primary announcements could tip the balance toward deeper losses or modest holds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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