Missouri Amendment 3, seeking to repeal the 2024 voter-approved constitutional right to reproductive freedom while banning gender transition procedures for minors, trails in trader consensus at 83.5% implied probability of failure ahead of the November ballot. A February SLU/YouGov poll of 900 likely voters shows narrow plurality support (47% yes, 40% no), largely driven by overwhelming backing for the gender-affirming care restrictions—already enacted as state law, upheld by the Supreme Court in January, and advanced toward permanence by the House in February—but abortion ban provisions remain deeply divisive following the prior pro-choice victory. Catholic bishops' endorsement on March 26 urges prayer and fasting in support, yet the slim lead within the margin of error and historical resistance sustain skepticism among traders.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Missouri voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a constitutional amendment (Amendment 3) which, if passed, would repeal the constitutional right to reproductive freedom, prohibit most abortions, and prohibit gender transition surgeries for minors.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Missouri Amendment 3, the Prohibit Abortion and Gender Transition Procedures for Minors Amendment, passes according to Missouri election procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If Amendment 3 is removed from the 2026 midterm election ballot in Missouri, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Missouri, specifically the Missouri Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mo.gov).Missouri Amendment 3, seeking to repeal the 2024 voter-approved constitutional right to reproductive freedom while banning gender transition procedures for minors, trails in trader consensus at 83.5% implied probability of failure ahead of the November ballot. A February SLU/YouGov poll of 900 likely voters shows narrow plurality support (47% yes, 40% no), largely driven by overwhelming backing for the gender-affirming care restrictions—already enacted as state law, upheld by the Supreme Court in January, and advanced toward permanence by the House in February—but abortion ban provisions remain deeply divisive following the prior pro-choice victory. Catholic bishops' endorsement on March 26 urges prayer and fasting in support, yet the slim lead within the margin of error and historical resistance sustain skepticism among traders.
Missouri voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a constitutional amendment (Amendment 3) which, if passed, would repeal the constitutional right to reproductive freedom, prohibit most abortions, and prohibit gender transition surgeries for minors.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Missouri Amendment 3, the Prohibit Abortion and Gender Transition Procedures for Minors Amendment, passes according to Missouri election procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If Amendment 3 is removed from the 2026 midterm election ballot in Missouri, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Missouri, specifically the Missouri Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mo.gov).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Missouri Amendment 3, the Prohibit Abortion and Gender Transition Procedures for Minors Amendment, passes according to Missouri election procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If Amendment 3 is removed from the 2026 midterm election ballot in Missouri, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Missouri, specifically the Missouri Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mo.gov).
市场开放时间： Mar 2, 2026, 6:10 PM ET
交易量
$293结束日期
Nov 3, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 2, 2026, 6:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Missouri voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a constitutional amendment (Amendment 3) which, if passed, would repeal the constitutional right to reproductive freedom, prohibit most abortions, and prohibit gender transition surgeries for minors.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Missouri Amendment 3, the Prohibit Abortion and Gender Transition Procedures for Minors Amendment, passes according to Missouri election procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If Amendment 3 is removed from the 2026 midterm election ballot in Missouri, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Missouri, specifically the Missouri Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mo.gov).Missouri Amendment 3, seeking to repeal the 2024 voter-approved constitutional right to reproductive freedom while banning gender transition procedures for minors, trails in trader consensus at 83.5% implied probability of failure ahead of the November ballot. A February SLU/YouGov poll of 900 likely voters shows narrow plurality support (47% yes, 40% no), largely driven by overwhelming backing for the gender-affirming care restrictions—already enacted as state law, upheld by the Supreme Court in January, and advanced toward permanence by the House in February—but abortion ban provisions remain deeply divisive following the prior pro-choice victory. Catholic bishops' endorsement on March 26 urges prayer and fasting in support, yet the slim lead within the margin of error and historical resistance sustain skepticism among traders.
Missouri voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a constitutional amendment (Amendment 3) which, if passed, would repeal the constitutional right to reproductive freedom, prohibit most abortions, and prohibit gender transition surgeries for minors.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Missouri Amendment 3, the Prohibit Abortion and Gender Transition Procedures for Minors Amendment, passes according to Missouri election procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If Amendment 3 is removed from the 2026 midterm election ballot in Missouri, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Missouri, specifically the Missouri Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mo.gov).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Missouri Amendment 3, the Prohibit Abortion and Gender Transition Procedures for Minors Amendment, passes according to Missouri election procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If Amendment 3 is removed from the 2026 midterm election ballot in Missouri, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Missouri, specifically the Missouri Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mo.gov).
交易量
$293结束日期
Nov 3, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 2, 2026, 6:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Missouri Amendment 3, seeking to repeal the 2024 voter-approved constitutional right to reproductive freedom while banning gender transition procedures for minors, trails in trader consensus at 83.5% implied probability of failure ahead of the November ballot. A February SLU/YouGov poll of 900 likely voters shows narrow plurality support (47% yes, 40% no), largely driven by overwhelming backing for the gender-affirming care restrictions—already enacted as state law, upheld by the Supreme Court in January, and advanced toward permanence by the House in February—but abortion ban provisions remain deeply divisive following the prior pro-choice victory. Catholic bishops' endorsement on March 26 urges prayer and fasting in support, yet the slim lead within the margin of error and historical resistance sustain skepticism among traders.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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