Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors rejection of Missouri Amendment 3 at 85.5% implied probability for "No," reflecting skepticism over its passage in the November 3, 2026 election despite bundling an abortion ban—with limited exceptions for medical emergencies, fetal anomalies, rape, or incest—with prohibitions on gender transition procedures for minors. A February SLU/YouGov poll of 900 likely voters showed only 47% support versus 40% opposition (12% undecided), falling short of a majority even as two-thirds oppose gender-affirming care already restricted by state law and upheld by the Missouri Supreme Court in January. The measure seeks to repeal the 2024 voter-approved constitutional right to reproductive freedom, facing strong opposition from Planned Parenthood and ACLU amid fundraising disparities, while recent Catholic bishops' endorsement on March 26 provides modest momentum but underscores persistent barriers to overturning prior voter intent.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Missouri voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a constitutional amendment (Amendment 3) which, if passed, would repeal the constitutional right to reproductive freedom, prohibit most abortions, and prohibit gender transition surgeries for minors.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Missouri Amendment 3, the Prohibit Abortion and Gender Transition Procedures for Minors Amendment, passes according to Missouri election procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If Amendment 3 is removed from the 2026 midterm election ballot in Missouri, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Missouri, specifically the Missouri Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mo.gov).Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors rejection of Missouri Amendment 3 at 85.5% implied probability for "No," reflecting skepticism over its passage in the November 3, 2026 election despite bundling an abortion ban—with limited exceptions for medical emergencies, fetal anomalies, rape, or incest—with prohibitions on gender transition procedures for minors. A February SLU/YouGov poll of 900 likely voters showed only 47% support versus 40% opposition (12% undecided), falling short of a majority even as two-thirds oppose gender-affirming care already restricted by state law and upheld by the Missouri Supreme Court in January. The measure seeks to repeal the 2024 voter-approved constitutional right to reproductive freedom, facing strong opposition from Planned Parenthood and ACLU amid fundraising disparities, while recent Catholic bishops' endorsement on March 26 provides modest momentum but underscores persistent barriers to overturning prior voter intent.
Missouri voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a constitutional amendment (Amendment 3) which, if passed, would repeal the constitutional right to reproductive freedom, prohibit most abortions, and prohibit gender transition surgeries for minors.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Missouri Amendment 3, the Prohibit Abortion and Gender Transition Procedures for Minors Amendment, passes according to Missouri election procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If Amendment 3 is removed from the 2026 midterm election ballot in Missouri, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Missouri, specifically the Missouri Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mo.gov).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Missouri Amendment 3, the Prohibit Abortion and Gender Transition Procedures for Minors Amendment, passes according to Missouri election procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If Amendment 3 is removed from the 2026 midterm election ballot in Missouri, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Missouri, specifically the Missouri Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mo.gov).
市场开放时间： Mar 2, 2026, 6:10 PM ET
交易量
$293结束日期
Nov 3, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 2, 2026, 6:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Missouri voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a constitutional amendment (Amendment 3) which, if passed, would repeal the constitutional right to reproductive freedom, prohibit most abortions, and prohibit gender transition surgeries for minors.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Missouri Amendment 3, the Prohibit Abortion and Gender Transition Procedures for Minors Amendment, passes according to Missouri election procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If Amendment 3 is removed from the 2026 midterm election ballot in Missouri, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Missouri, specifically the Missouri Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mo.gov).Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors rejection of Missouri Amendment 3 at 85.5% implied probability for "No," reflecting skepticism over its passage in the November 3, 2026 election despite bundling an abortion ban—with limited exceptions for medical emergencies, fetal anomalies, rape, or incest—with prohibitions on gender transition procedures for minors. A February SLU/YouGov poll of 900 likely voters showed only 47% support versus 40% opposition (12% undecided), falling short of a majority even as two-thirds oppose gender-affirming care already restricted by state law and upheld by the Missouri Supreme Court in January. The measure seeks to repeal the 2024 voter-approved constitutional right to reproductive freedom, facing strong opposition from Planned Parenthood and ACLU amid fundraising disparities, while recent Catholic bishops' endorsement on March 26 provides modest momentum but underscores persistent barriers to overturning prior voter intent.
Missouri voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a constitutional amendment (Amendment 3) which, if passed, would repeal the constitutional right to reproductive freedom, prohibit most abortions, and prohibit gender transition surgeries for minors.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Missouri Amendment 3, the Prohibit Abortion and Gender Transition Procedures for Minors Amendment, passes according to Missouri election procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If Amendment 3 is removed from the 2026 midterm election ballot in Missouri, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Missouri, specifically the Missouri Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mo.gov).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Missouri Amendment 3, the Prohibit Abortion and Gender Transition Procedures for Minors Amendment, passes according to Missouri election procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If Amendment 3 is removed from the 2026 midterm election ballot in Missouri, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Missouri, specifically the Missouri Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mo.gov).
交易量
$293结束日期
Nov 3, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 2, 2026, 6:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors rejection of Missouri Amendment 3 at 85.5% implied probability for "No," reflecting skepticism over its passage in the November 3, 2026 election despite bundling an abortion ban—with limited exceptions for medical emergencies, fetal anomalies, rape, or incest—with prohibitions on gender transition procedures for minors. A February SLU/YouGov poll of 900 likely voters showed only 47% support versus 40% opposition (12% undecided), falling short of a majority even as two-thirds oppose gender-affirming care already restricted by state law and upheld by the Missouri Supreme Court in January. The measure seeks to repeal the 2024 voter-approved constitutional right to reproductive freedom, facing strong opposition from Planned Parenthood and ACLU amid fundraising disparities, while recent Catholic bishops' endorsement on March 26 provides modest momentum but underscores persistent barriers to overturning prior voter intent.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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