Ohio’s 2026 special Senate contest pits Democratic nominee Sherrod Brown, who easily secured his party’s nomination in the May 5 primary, against Republican incumbent Jon Husted, who faced no primary opposition after his appointment to the seat. Recent polling averages show Husted holding a narrow lead of roughly two to three points, yet traders assign the Democratic outcome a 57.5% implied probability. Brown’s established statewide profile, first-quarter fundraising exceeding $12 million, and appeal in suburban and working-class areas underpin the market’s positioning. The race remains closely contested heading into November, with turnout patterns, campaign spending, and any shifts in national conditions likely to determine the final margin.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$80,846 交易量
$80,846 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
57%
共和党
44%
$80,846 交易量
$80,846 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$47,462 交易量
57%
共和党
$33,384 交易量
44%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ohio U.S. Senate special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Ohio’s 2026 special Senate contest pits Democratic nominee Sherrod Brown, who easily secured his party’s nomination in the May 5 primary, against Republican incumbent Jon Husted, who faced no primary opposition after his appointment to the seat. Recent polling averages show Husted holding a narrow lead of roughly two to three points, yet traders assign the Democratic outcome a 57.5% implied probability. Brown’s established statewide profile, first-quarter fundraising exceeding $12 million, and appeal in suburban and working-class areas underpin the market’s positioning. The race remains closely contested heading into November, with turnout patterns, campaign spending, and any shifts in national conditions likely to determine the final margin.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ohio U.S. Senate special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间： Oct 13, 2025, 4:38 PM ET
交易量
$80,846结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 4:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ohio U.S. Senate special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Ohio’s 2026 special Senate contest pits Democratic nominee Sherrod Brown, who easily secured his party’s nomination in the May 5 primary, against Republican incumbent Jon Husted, who faced no primary opposition after his appointment to the seat. Recent polling averages show Husted holding a narrow lead of roughly two to three points, yet traders assign the Democratic outcome a 57.5% implied probability. Brown’s established statewide profile, first-quarter fundraising exceeding $12 million, and appeal in suburban and working-class areas underpin the market’s positioning. The race remains closely contested heading into November, with turnout patterns, campaign spending, and any shifts in national conditions likely to determine the final margin.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ohio U.S. Senate special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$80,846结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 4:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Ohio’s 2026 special Senate contest pits Democratic nominee Sherrod Brown, who easily secured his party’s nomination in the May 5 primary, against Republican incumbent Jon Husted, who faced no primary opposition after his appointment to the seat. Recent polling averages show Husted holding a narrow lead of roughly two to three points, yet traders assign the Democratic outcome a 57.5% implied probability. Brown’s established statewide profile, first-quarter fundraising exceeding $12 million, and appeal in suburban and working-class areas underpin the market’s positioning. The race remains closely contested heading into November, with turnout patterns, campaign spending, and any shifts in national conditions likely to determine the final margin.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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