Former Senator Sherrod Brown holds a 59.5% implied probability in the 2026 Ohio Senate special election market over appointed incumbent Jon Husted at 40.5%, driven by Brown's commanding May 5 Democratic primary win with 92% support and strong early turnout that signaled renewed enthusiasm among core voters. Recent April polls from Bowling Green State University and Echelon Insights show a statistical tie with Husted holding a slim RealClearPolling average edge of roughly two points, yet traders price in Brown's advantages in name recognition, independent appeal, and substantial first-quarter fundraising as key differentiators in this toss-up contest. Analysts rate the race as competitive, with upcoming debates and summer polling likely to test whether Brown's past Senate record or Husted's current incumbency will ultimately sway Ohio voters in November.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$78,175 交易量
$78,175 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
60%
共和党
41%
$78,175 交易量
$78,175 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$45,642 交易量
60%
共和党
$32,533 交易量
41%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ohio U.S. Senate special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Former Senator Sherrod Brown holds a 59.5% implied probability in the 2026 Ohio Senate special election market over appointed incumbent Jon Husted at 40.5%, driven by Brown's commanding May 5 Democratic primary win with 92% support and strong early turnout that signaled renewed enthusiasm among core voters. Recent April polls from Bowling Green State University and Echelon Insights show a statistical tie with Husted holding a slim RealClearPolling average edge of roughly two points, yet traders price in Brown's advantages in name recognition, independent appeal, and substantial first-quarter fundraising as key differentiators in this toss-up contest. Analysts rate the race as competitive, with upcoming debates and summer polling likely to test whether Brown's past Senate record or Husted's current incumbency will ultimately sway Ohio voters in November.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ohio U.S. Senate special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间： Oct 13, 2025, 4:38 PM ET
交易量
$78,175结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 4:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ohio U.S. Senate special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Former Senator Sherrod Brown holds a 59.5% implied probability in the 2026 Ohio Senate special election market over appointed incumbent Jon Husted at 40.5%, driven by Brown's commanding May 5 Democratic primary win with 92% support and strong early turnout that signaled renewed enthusiasm among core voters. Recent April polls from Bowling Green State University and Echelon Insights show a statistical tie with Husted holding a slim RealClearPolling average edge of roughly two points, yet traders price in Brown's advantages in name recognition, independent appeal, and substantial first-quarter fundraising as key differentiators in this toss-up contest. Analysts rate the race as competitive, with upcoming debates and summer polling likely to test whether Brown's past Senate record or Husted's current incumbency will ultimately sway Ohio voters in November.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ohio U.S. Senate special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$78,175结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 4:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Former Senator Sherrod Brown holds a 59.5% implied probability in the 2026 Ohio Senate special election market over appointed incumbent Jon Husted at 40.5%, driven by Brown's commanding May 5 Democratic primary win with 92% support and strong early turnout that signaled renewed enthusiasm among core voters. Recent April polls from Bowling Green State University and Echelon Insights show a statistical tie with Husted holding a slim RealClearPolling average edge of roughly two points, yet traders price in Brown's advantages in name recognition, independent appeal, and substantial first-quarter fundraising as key differentiators in this toss-up contest. Analysts rate the race as competitive, with upcoming debates and summer polling likely to test whether Brown's past Senate record or Husted's current incumbency will ultimately sway Ohio voters in November.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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