The prediction market assigns Democratic nominee Sherrod Brown a 59.5 percent implied probability of winning Ohio’s 2026 special Senate election against Republican incumbent Jon Husted. Brown’s strong first-quarter fundraising total of $12.5 million and established statewide profile as a three-term former senator have bolstered trader confidence, especially after both candidates secured their party nominations on May 5. Recent polling averages show a narrow contest, with Husted holding a modest edge in several surveys conducted through mid-April. Traders appear to weigh Democratic enthusiasm in this midterm environment and Brown’s proven appeal among working-class voters in the state more heavily than Husted’s early incumbency advantage as the appointee filling the vacancy left by JD Vance. Upcoming campaign developments through November could still shift the balance in either direction.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$78,384 交易量
$78,384 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
60%
共和党
41%
$78,384 交易量
$78,384 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$45,761 交易量
60%
共和党
$32,623 交易量
41%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ohio U.S. Senate special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.The prediction market assigns Democratic nominee Sherrod Brown a 59.5 percent implied probability of winning Ohio’s 2026 special Senate election against Republican incumbent Jon Husted. Brown’s strong first-quarter fundraising total of $12.5 million and established statewide profile as a three-term former senator have bolstered trader confidence, especially after both candidates secured their party nominations on May 5. Recent polling averages show a narrow contest, with Husted holding a modest edge in several surveys conducted through mid-April. Traders appear to weigh Democratic enthusiasm in this midterm environment and Brown’s proven appeal among working-class voters in the state more heavily than Husted’s early incumbency advantage as the appointee filling the vacancy left by JD Vance. Upcoming campaign developments through November could still shift the balance in either direction.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ohio U.S. Senate special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间： Oct 13, 2025, 4:38 PM ET
交易量
$78,384结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 4:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ohio U.S. Senate special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.The prediction market assigns Democratic nominee Sherrod Brown a 59.5 percent implied probability of winning Ohio’s 2026 special Senate election against Republican incumbent Jon Husted. Brown’s strong first-quarter fundraising total of $12.5 million and established statewide profile as a three-term former senator have bolstered trader confidence, especially after both candidates secured their party nominations on May 5. Recent polling averages show a narrow contest, with Husted holding a modest edge in several surveys conducted through mid-April. Traders appear to weigh Democratic enthusiasm in this midterm environment and Brown’s proven appeal among working-class voters in the state more heavily than Husted’s early incumbency advantage as the appointee filling the vacancy left by JD Vance. Upcoming campaign developments through November could still shift the balance in either direction.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ohio U.S. Senate special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$78,384结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 4:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The prediction market assigns Democratic nominee Sherrod Brown a 59.5 percent implied probability of winning Ohio’s 2026 special Senate election against Republican incumbent Jon Husted. Brown’s strong first-quarter fundraising total of $12.5 million and established statewide profile as a three-term former senator have bolstered trader confidence, especially after both candidates secured their party nominations on May 5. Recent polling averages show a narrow contest, with Husted holding a modest edge in several surveys conducted through mid-April. Traders appear to weigh Democratic enthusiasm in this midterm environment and Brown’s proven appeal among working-class voters in the state more heavily than Husted’s early incumbency advantage as the appointee filling the vacancy left by JD Vance. Upcoming campaign developments through November could still shift the balance in either direction.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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