Recent polls showing former Senator Sherrod Brown leading Lt. Gov. Jon Husted by narrow margins in Ohio's special U.S. Senate race—triggered by Vice President JD Vance's vacancy—have driven trader consensus to favor Democrats at 55.5% implied probability versus Republicans at 42%. A March statewide survey highlighted healthcare costs as a top voter concern boosting Brown's edge, amid a closely contested battleground matchup despite Ohio's Republican lean. With primaries on May 5 approaching and voter registration closing April 6, upcoming nominating contests and turnout in swing areas could tip the balance in this pivotal race for Senate control.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于$63,057 交易量
$63,057 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
56%
共和党
42%
$63,057 交易量
$63,057 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$35,893 交易量
56%
共和党
$27,163 交易量
42%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ohio U.S. Senate special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Recent polls showing former Senator Sherrod Brown leading Lt. Gov. Jon Husted by narrow margins in Ohio's special U.S. Senate race—triggered by Vice President JD Vance's vacancy—have driven trader consensus to favor Democrats at 55.5% implied probability versus Republicans at 42%. A March statewide survey highlighted healthcare costs as a top voter concern boosting Brown's edge, amid a closely contested battleground matchup despite Ohio's Republican lean. With primaries on May 5 approaching and voter registration closing April 6, upcoming nominating contests and turnout in swing areas could tip the balance in this pivotal race for Senate control.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ohio U.S. Senate special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间： Oct 13, 2025, 4:38 PM ET
交易量
$63,057结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 4:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ohio U.S. Senate special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Recent polls showing former Senator Sherrod Brown leading Lt. Gov. Jon Husted by narrow margins in Ohio's special U.S. Senate race—triggered by Vice President JD Vance's vacancy—have driven trader consensus to favor Democrats at 55.5% implied probability versus Republicans at 42%. A March statewide survey highlighted healthcare costs as a top voter concern boosting Brown's edge, amid a closely contested battleground matchup despite Ohio's Republican lean. With primaries on May 5 approaching and voter registration closing April 6, upcoming nominating contests and turnout in swing areas could tip the balance in this pivotal race for Senate control.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ohio U.S. Senate special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$63,057结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 4:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polls showing former Senator Sherrod Brown leading Lt. Gov. Jon Husted by narrow margins in Ohio's special U.S. Senate race—triggered by Vice President JD Vance's vacancy—have driven trader consensus to favor Democrats at 55.5% implied probability versus Republicans at 42%. A March statewide survey highlighted healthcare costs as a top voter concern boosting Brown's edge, amid a closely contested battleground matchup despite Ohio's Republican lean. With primaries on May 5 approaching and voter registration closing April 6, upcoming nominating contests and turnout in swing areas could tip the balance in this pivotal race for Senate control.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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