Redistricting in May 2026 substantially altered Tennessee's 9th Congressional District by extending it into Nashville suburbs, prompting incumbent U.S. Rep. Steve Cohen to withdraw from the Democratic primary. This shift elevated state Rep. Justin Pearson, known for his 2023 protests and subsequent national profile, as the leading candidate with endorsements from a majority of House Democrats and strong Memphis-area support. Activist DeVante Hill remains a secondary option amid a field that also includes London Lamar. Traders assign Pearson an 82% implied probability of winning the August 6 primary, reflecting the impact of these structural changes and candidate positioning on the race.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于DeVante Hill 11.2%
Steve Cohen 2.5%
Justin Pearson 0
$10,174 交易量
$10,174 交易量
2026-08-06
DeVante Hill
11%
Steve Cohen
3%
Justin Pearson
53%
DeVante Hill 11.2%
Steve Cohen 2.5%
Justin Pearson 0
$10,174 交易量
$10,174 交易量
2026-08-06
DeVante Hill
$547 交易量
11%
Steve Cohen
$7,376 交易量
3%
Justin Pearson
$2,251 交易量
53%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the TN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 6, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Redistricting in May 2026 substantially altered Tennessee's 9th Congressional District by extending it into Nashville suburbs, prompting incumbent U.S. Rep. Steve Cohen to withdraw from the Democratic primary. This shift elevated state Rep. Justin Pearson, known for his 2023 protests and subsequent national profile, as the leading candidate with endorsements from a majority of House Democrats and strong Memphis-area support. Activist DeVante Hill remains a secondary option amid a field that also includes London Lamar. Traders assign Pearson an 82% implied probability of winning the August 6 primary, reflecting the impact of these structural changes and candidate positioning on the race.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the TN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 6, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
市场开放时间： Mar 9, 2026, 11:26 PM ET
交易量
$10,174结束日期
2026-08-06市场开放时间
Mar 9, 2026, 11:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the TN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 6, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Redistricting in May 2026 substantially altered Tennessee's 9th Congressional District by extending it into Nashville suburbs, prompting incumbent U.S. Rep. Steve Cohen to withdraw from the Democratic primary. This shift elevated state Rep. Justin Pearson, known for his 2023 protests and subsequent national profile, as the leading candidate with endorsements from a majority of House Democrats and strong Memphis-area support. Activist DeVante Hill remains a secondary option amid a field that also includes London Lamar. Traders assign Pearson an 82% implied probability of winning the August 6 primary, reflecting the impact of these structural changes and candidate positioning on the race.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the TN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 6, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$10,174结束日期
2026-08-06市场开放时间
Mar 9, 2026, 11:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Redistricting in May 2026 substantially altered Tennessee's 9th Congressional District by extending it into Nashville suburbs, prompting incumbent U.S. Rep. Steve Cohen to withdraw from the Democratic primary. This shift elevated state Rep. Justin Pearson, known for his 2023 protests and subsequent national profile, as the leading candidate with endorsements from a majority of House Democrats and strong Memphis-area support. Activist DeVante Hill remains a secondary option amid a field that also includes London Lamar. Traders assign Pearson an 82% implied probability of winning the August 6 primary, reflecting the impact of these structural changes and candidate positioning on the race.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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