Trader consensus on the Texas Senate Republican Primary Runoff margin reflects a sharply divided GOP base, with Paxton 9%+ victory leading at 26% amid perceptions of his stronger appeal to Trump-aligned primary voters frustrated by Cornyn's establishment ties and votes for Ukraine aid and bipartisan gun safety measures. Recent internal polls, including a late October University of Houston survey showing Paxton trailing Cornyn 29%-34% but gaining on enthusiasm metrics, have fueled bets on close outcomes like Cornyn <3% (11.9%) or Paxton <3% (10.5%). Paxton's fundraising surge and AG legal wins against federal policies boost his insurgent momentum, while Cornyn's incumbency advantages and donor network sustain competitiveness. Separation could emerge from Trump endorsements, debate performances, or turnout in the May 2026 runoff following the March primary.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Paxton 9%+ 27.4%
Paxton 6–9% 21%
Cornyn 9%+ 19%
Paxton 3–6% 11%
$35,494 交易量
$35,494 交易量
May 25, 2026
Paxton 9%+
27%
Paxton 6–9%
21%
Paxton 3–6%
11%
Paxton <3%
10%
Cornyn <3%
4%
Cornyn 3–6%
7%
Cornyn 6–9%
4%
Cornyn 9%+
19%
Paxton 9%+ 27.4%
Paxton 6–9% 21%
Cornyn 9%+ 19%
Paxton 3–6% 11%
$35,494 交易量
$35,494 交易量
May 25, 2026
Paxton 9%+
$5,881 交易量
27%
Paxton 6–9%
$4,444 交易量
21%
Paxton 3–6%
$3,739 交易量
11%
Paxton <3%
$5,787 交易量
10%
Cornyn <3%
$3,156 交易量
4%
Cornyn 3–6%
$3,744 交易量
7%
Cornyn 6–9%
$3,942 交易量
4%
Cornyn 9%+
$4,983 交易量
19%
The Texas Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for May 26, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).
If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://elections.sos.state.tx.us/index.htm); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Trader consensus on the Texas Senate Republican Primary Runoff margin reflects a sharply divided GOP base, with Paxton 9%+ victory leading at 26% amid perceptions of his stronger appeal to Trump-aligned primary voters frustrated by Cornyn's establishment ties and votes for Ukraine aid and bipartisan gun safety measures. Recent internal polls, including a late October University of Houston survey showing Paxton trailing Cornyn 29%-34% but gaining on enthusiasm metrics, have fueled bets on close outcomes like Cornyn <3% (11.9%) or Paxton <3% (10.5%). Paxton's fundraising surge and AG legal wins against federal policies boost his insurgent momentum, while Cornyn's incumbency advantages and donor network sustain competitiveness. Separation could emerge from Trump endorsements, debate performances, or turnout in the May 2026 runoff following the March primary.
The Texas Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for May 26, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).
If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://elections.sos.state.tx.us/index.htm); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).
If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://elections.sos.state.tx.us/index.htm); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
市场开放时间： Mar 4, 2026, 12:46 PM ET
交易量
$35,494结束日期
May 25, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 4, 2026, 12:46 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Texas Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for May 26, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).
If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://elections.sos.state.tx.us/index.htm); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Trader consensus on the Texas Senate Republican Primary Runoff margin reflects a sharply divided GOP base, with Paxton 9%+ victory leading at 26% amid perceptions of his stronger appeal to Trump-aligned primary voters frustrated by Cornyn's establishment ties and votes for Ukraine aid and bipartisan gun safety measures. Recent internal polls, including a late October University of Houston survey showing Paxton trailing Cornyn 29%-34% but gaining on enthusiasm metrics, have fueled bets on close outcomes like Cornyn <3% (11.9%) or Paxton <3% (10.5%). Paxton's fundraising surge and AG legal wins against federal policies boost his insurgent momentum, while Cornyn's incumbency advantages and donor network sustain competitiveness. Separation could emerge from Trump endorsements, debate performances, or turnout in the May 2026 runoff following the March primary.
The Texas Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for May 26, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).
If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://elections.sos.state.tx.us/index.htm); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).
If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://elections.sos.state.tx.us/index.htm); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
交易量
$35,494结束日期
May 25, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 4, 2026, 12:46 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on the Texas Senate Republican Primary Runoff margin reflects a sharply divided GOP base, with Paxton 9%+ victory leading at 26% amid perceptions of his stronger appeal to Trump-aligned primary voters frustrated by Cornyn's establishment ties and votes for Ukraine aid and bipartisan gun safety measures. Recent internal polls, including a late October University of Houston survey showing Paxton trailing Cornyn 29%-34% but gaining on enthusiasm metrics, have fueled bets on close outcomes like Cornyn <3% (11.9%) or Paxton <3% (10.5%). Paxton's fundraising surge and AG legal wins against federal policies boost his insurgent momentum, while Cornyn's incumbency advantages and donor network sustain competitiveness. Separation could emerge from Trump endorsements, debate performances, or turnout in the May 2026 runoff following the March primary.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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