Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton advanced to the Republican primary runoff for U.S. Senate against incumbent John Cornyn after the March 2026 primary, but trader consensus at 95.5% on "No" reflects his firm commitment following the March 17 withdrawal deadline, which passed without either candidate exiting the May 2026 contest. Earlier statements from Paxton offering conditional withdrawal—such as passage of the SAVE Act or a Trump endorsement—did not materialize, and he has since reaffirmed his candidacy amid racking up grassroots endorsements and recent public appearances like CPAC. High confidence stems from this procedural lock-in and active campaigning, though late-breaking scandals, health issues, or decisive Trump intervention could still prompt an unexpected exit before the runoff.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于NEW
NEW
May 25, 2026
NEW
NEW
May 25, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ken Paxton withdraws from or officially announces his withdrawal from the 2026 Texas Senate Republican Primary election, or announces the suspension of his 2026 Senate campaign, by May 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Ken Paxton or his official/legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton advanced to the Republican primary runoff for U.S. Senate against incumbent John Cornyn after the March 2026 primary, but trader consensus at 95.5% on "No" reflects his firm commitment following the March 17 withdrawal deadline, which passed without either candidate exiting the May 2026 contest. Earlier statements from Paxton offering conditional withdrawal—such as passage of the SAVE Act or a Trump endorsement—did not materialize, and he has since reaffirmed his candidacy amid racking up grassroots endorsements and recent public appearances like CPAC. High confidence stems from this procedural lock-in and active campaigning, though late-breaking scandals, health issues, or decisive Trump intervention could still prompt an unexpected exit before the runoff.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ken Paxton withdraws from or officially announces his withdrawal from the 2026 Texas Senate Republican Primary election, or announces the suspension of his 2026 Senate campaign, by May 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Ken Paxton or his official/legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Ken Paxton or his official/legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Mar 9, 2026, 12:51 PM ET
交易量
$5,046结束日期
May 25, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 9, 2026, 12:51 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ken Paxton withdraws from or officially announces his withdrawal from the 2026 Texas Senate Republican Primary election, or announces the suspension of his 2026 Senate campaign, by May 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Ken Paxton or his official/legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton advanced to the Republican primary runoff for U.S. Senate against incumbent John Cornyn after the March 2026 primary, but trader consensus at 95.5% on "No" reflects his firm commitment following the March 17 withdrawal deadline, which passed without either candidate exiting the May 2026 contest. Earlier statements from Paxton offering conditional withdrawal—such as passage of the SAVE Act or a Trump endorsement—did not materialize, and he has since reaffirmed his candidacy amid racking up grassroots endorsements and recent public appearances like CPAC. High confidence stems from this procedural lock-in and active campaigning, though late-breaking scandals, health issues, or decisive Trump intervention could still prompt an unexpected exit before the runoff.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ken Paxton withdraws from or officially announces his withdrawal from the 2026 Texas Senate Republican Primary election, or announces the suspension of his 2026 Senate campaign, by May 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Ken Paxton or his official/legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Ken Paxton or his official/legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$5,046结束日期
May 25, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 9, 2026, 12:51 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton advanced to the Republican primary runoff for U.S. Senate against incumbent John Cornyn after the March 2026 primary, but trader consensus at 95.5% on "No" reflects his firm commitment following the March 17 withdrawal deadline, which passed without either candidate exiting the May 2026 contest. Earlier statements from Paxton offering conditional withdrawal—such as passage of the SAVE Act or a Trump endorsement—did not materialize, and he has since reaffirmed his candidacy amid racking up grassroots endorsements and recent public appearances like CPAC. High confidence stems from this procedural lock-in and active campaigning, though late-breaking scandals, health issues, or decisive Trump intervention could still prompt an unexpected exit before the runoff.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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