The closely matched trader consensus around Bakir Izetbegović of the SDA and incumbent Denis Bećirović of the SDP reflects a competitive rematch for the Bosniak seat in Bosnia and Herzegovina’s tripartite presidency ahead of the October 2026 general election. Izetbegović gained ground following his party’s May 2026 nomination, drawing on SDA’s established organizational strength and voter base within the Federation, while Bećirović benefits from his current role and position in the pro-reform coalition that prevailed in 2022. Limited recent polling and ongoing political fragmentation in the Federation keep probabilities tight, with separation likely to emerge from campaign momentum, coalition alignments, or turnout patterns among Bosniak voters in the coming months.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于波斯尼亚和黑塞哥维那的下一任波什尼亚克族总统？
波斯尼亚和黑塞哥维那的下一任波什尼亚克族总统？
巴基尔·伊泽特贝戈维奇 52%
Denis Bećirović 49%
Semir Efendić <1%
$21,623 交易量
$21,623 交易量
2026-10-04
巴基尔·伊泽特贝戈维奇
52%
Denis Bećirović
49%
Semir Efendić
1%
巴基尔·伊泽特贝戈维奇 52%
Denis Bećirović 49%
Semir Efendić <1%
$21,623 交易量
$21,623 交易量
2026-10-04
巴基尔·伊泽特贝戈维奇
$7,090 交易量
52%
Denis Bećirović
$9,376 交易量
49%
Semir Efendić
$5,157 交易量
1%
The Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina is a three-member collective head of state, consisting of one Bosniak member, one Croat member, and one Serb member. The Bosniak and Croat members are elected from the Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina, while the Serb member is elected from Republika Srpska. General elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed individual elected to serve as the Bosniak member of the Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election.
Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidency members will not count.
If no such Presidency member has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The closely matched trader consensus around Bakir Izetbegović of the SDA and incumbent Denis Bećirović of the SDP reflects a competitive rematch for the Bosniak seat in Bosnia and Herzegovina’s tripartite presidency ahead of the October 2026 general election. Izetbegović gained ground following his party’s May 2026 nomination, drawing on SDA’s established organizational strength and voter base within the Federation, while Bećirović benefits from his current role and position in the pro-reform coalition that prevailed in 2022. Limited recent polling and ongoing political fragmentation in the Federation keep probabilities tight, with separation likely to emerge from campaign momentum, coalition alignments, or turnout patterns among Bosniak voters in the coming months.
The Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina is a three-member collective head of state, consisting of one Bosniak member, one Croat member, and one Serb member. The Bosniak and Croat members are elected from the Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina, while the Serb member is elected from Republika Srpska. General elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed individual elected to serve as the Bosniak member of the Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election.
Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidency members will not count.
If no such Presidency member has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed individual elected to serve as the Bosniak member of the Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election.
Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidency members will not count.
If no such Presidency member has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： May 12, 2026, 7:51 PM ET
交易量
$21,623结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
May 12, 2026, 7:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina is a three-member collective head of state, consisting of one Bosniak member, one Croat member, and one Serb member. The Bosniak and Croat members are elected from the Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina, while the Serb member is elected from Republika Srpska. General elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed individual elected to serve as the Bosniak member of the Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election.
Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidency members will not count.
If no such Presidency member has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The closely matched trader consensus around Bakir Izetbegović of the SDA and incumbent Denis Bećirović of the SDP reflects a competitive rematch for the Bosniak seat in Bosnia and Herzegovina’s tripartite presidency ahead of the October 2026 general election. Izetbegović gained ground following his party’s May 2026 nomination, drawing on SDA’s established organizational strength and voter base within the Federation, while Bećirović benefits from his current role and position in the pro-reform coalition that prevailed in 2022. Limited recent polling and ongoing political fragmentation in the Federation keep probabilities tight, with separation likely to emerge from campaign momentum, coalition alignments, or turnout patterns among Bosniak voters in the coming months.
The Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina is a three-member collective head of state, consisting of one Bosniak member, one Croat member, and one Serb member. The Bosniak and Croat members are elected from the Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina, while the Serb member is elected from Republika Srpska. General elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed individual elected to serve as the Bosniak member of the Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election.
Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidency members will not count.
If no such Presidency member has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed individual elected to serve as the Bosniak member of the Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election.
Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidency members will not count.
If no such Presidency member has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$21,623结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
May 12, 2026, 7:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The closely matched trader consensus around Bakir Izetbegović of the SDA and incumbent Denis Bećirović of the SDP reflects a competitive rematch for the Bosniak seat in Bosnia and Herzegovina’s tripartite presidency ahead of the October 2026 general election. Izetbegović gained ground following his party’s May 2026 nomination, drawing on SDA’s established organizational strength and voter base within the Federation, while Bećirović benefits from his current role and position in the pro-reform coalition that prevailed in 2022. Limited recent polling and ongoing political fragmentation in the Federation keep probabilities tight, with separation likely to emerge from campaign momentum, coalition alignments, or turnout patterns among Bosniak voters in the coming months.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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