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选举·主要选举

Next Serb Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina?

icon for Next Serb Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina?
选举·主要选举

Next Serb Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina?

Željka Cvijanović 73%

Nebojša Vukanović 7%

Draško Stanivuković 5%

Branko Blanuša 2.6%

Polymarket

$20,585 交易量

Željka Cvijanović 73%

Nebojša Vukanović 7%

Draško Stanivuković 5%

Branko Blanuša 2.6%

Polymarket

$20,585 交易量

icon for Željka Cvijanović

Željka Cvijanović

$17,239 交易量

73%

icon for Nebojša Vukanović

Nebojša Vukanović

$914 交易量

7%

icon for Draško Stanivuković

Draško Stanivuković

$485 交易量

5%

icon for Branko Blanuša

Branko Blanuša

$679 交易量

3%

icon for Siniša Karan

Siniša Karan

$1,268 交易量

<1%

The Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina is a three-member collective head of state, consisting of one Bosniak member, one Croat member, and one Serb member. The Bosniak and Croat members are elected from the Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina, while the Serb member is elected from Republika Srpska. General elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed individual elected to serve as the Serb member of the Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election. Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidency members will not count. If no such Presidency member has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Željka Cvijanović holds a commanding position in the race for the Serb seat in Bosnia and Herzegovina’s tripartite Presidency due to sustained SNSD organizational dominance in Republika Srpska following Milorad Dodik’s legal removal from office. Ally Siniša Karan’s narrow victories in the November 2025 and February 2026 snap RS presidential elections consolidated entity-level institutions and resources ahead of the 4 October 2026 general election. This structural advantage leaves opposition figures such as Nebojša Vukanović, Draško Stanivuković, and Branko Blanuša with fragmented support bases and limited administrative reach, keeping their shares in single digits. Scheduled balloting and ongoing SNSD cohesion remain the principal variables that could still influence final trader assessments.

The Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina is a three-member collective head of state, consisting of one Bosniak member, one Croat member, and one Serb member. The Bosniak and Croat members are elected from the Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina, while the Serb member is elected from Republika Srpska. General elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed individual elected to serve as the Serb member of the Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election.

Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidency members will not count.

If no such Presidency member has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$20,585
结束日期
2026-10-04
市场开放时间
May 12, 2026, 7:51 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina is a three-member collective head of state, consisting of one Bosniak member, one Croat member, and one Serb member. The Bosniak and Croat members are elected from the Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina, while the Serb member is elected from Republika Srpska. General elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed individual elected to serve as the Serb member of the Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election. Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidency members will not count. If no such Presidency member has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina is a three-member collective head of state, consisting of one Bosniak member, one Croat member, and one Serb member. The Bosniak and Croat members are elected from the Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina, while the Serb member is elected from Republika Srpska. General elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed individual elected to serve as the Serb member of the Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election. Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidency members will not count. If no such Presidency member has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Željka Cvijanović holds a commanding position in the race for the Serb seat in Bosnia and Herzegovina’s tripartite Presidency due to sustained SNSD organizational dominance in Republika Srpska following Milorad Dodik’s legal removal from office. Ally Siniša Karan’s narrow victories in the November 2025 and February 2026 snap RS presidential elections consolidated entity-level institutions and resources ahead of the 4 October 2026 general election. This structural advantage leaves opposition figures such as Nebojša Vukanović, Draško Stanivuković, and Branko Blanuša with fragmented support bases and limited administrative reach, keeping their shares in single digits. Scheduled balloting and ongoing SNSD cohesion remain the principal variables that could still influence final trader assessments.

The Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina is a three-member collective head of state, consisting of one Bosniak member, one Croat member, and one Serb member. The Bosniak and Croat members are elected from the Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina, while the Serb member is elected from Republika Srpska. General elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed individual elected to serve as the Serb member of the Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election.

Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidency members will not count.

If no such Presidency member has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$20,585
结束日期
2026-10-04
市场开放时间
May 12, 2026, 7:51 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina is a three-member collective head of state, consisting of one Bosniak member, one Croat member, and one Serb member. The Bosniak and Croat members are elected from the Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina, while the Serb member is elected from Republika Srpska. General elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed individual elected to serve as the Serb member of the Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election. Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidency members will not count. If no such Presidency member has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"Next Serb Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 5 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"Željka Cvijanović"，概率为 73%，其次是"Nebojša Vukanović"，概率为 7%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 73¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 73%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前，"Next Serb Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina?"已产生 $20.6K 的总交易量（自May 13, 2026市场上线以来）。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与，并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"Next Serb Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina?"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 5 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"Next Serb Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina?"的当前领先者是"Željka Cvijanović"，概率为 73%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 73%。紧随其后的结果是"Nebojša Vukanović"，概率为 7%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"Next Serb Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。