Recent polls from May 2026 show the AfD leading in Saxony-Anhalt with 41-42% support ahead of the September 6 Landtag election, roughly 15 points ahead of the CDU, amid broader federal coalition dissatisfaction. This positions the party as the clear frontrunner but short of the roughly 50% vote share typically required for an absolute majority of the 83 seats under proportional representation. Smaller parties near the 5% threshold could consolidate additional seats for the AfD if they fall out, yet current distributions leave the outcome short of a majority without further gains. Traders assign the "No" outcome a 55.5% implied probability, reflecting these seat-projection realities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$70,712 交易量
$70,712 交易量
2026-09-06
$70,712 交易量
$70,712 交易量
2026-09-06
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the party Alternative for Germany (AfD) wins an absolute majority of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).Recent polls from May 2026 show the AfD leading in Saxony-Anhalt with 41-42% support ahead of the September 6 Landtag election, roughly 15 points ahead of the CDU, amid broader federal coalition dissatisfaction. This positions the party as the clear frontrunner but short of the roughly 50% vote share typically required for an absolute majority of the 83 seats under proportional representation. Smaller parties near the 5% threshold could consolidate additional seats for the AfD if they fall out, yet current distributions leave the outcome short of a majority without further gains. Traders assign the "No" outcome a 55.5% implied probability, reflecting these seat-projection realities.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the party Alternative for Germany (AfD) wins an absolute majority of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the party Alternative for Germany (AfD) wins an absolute majority of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
市场开放时间： May 12, 2026, 7:48 PM ET
交易量
$70,712结束日期
2026-09-06市场开放时间
May 12, 2026, 7:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the party Alternative for Germany (AfD) wins an absolute majority of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).Recent polls from May 2026 show the AfD leading in Saxony-Anhalt with 41-42% support ahead of the September 6 Landtag election, roughly 15 points ahead of the CDU, amid broader federal coalition dissatisfaction. This positions the party as the clear frontrunner but short of the roughly 50% vote share typically required for an absolute majority of the 83 seats under proportional representation. Smaller parties near the 5% threshold could consolidate additional seats for the AfD if they fall out, yet current distributions leave the outcome short of a majority without further gains. Traders assign the "No" outcome a 55.5% implied probability, reflecting these seat-projection realities.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the party Alternative for Germany (AfD) wins an absolute majority of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the party Alternative for Germany (AfD) wins an absolute majority of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
交易量
$71,712结束日期
2026-09-06市场开放时间
May 12, 2026, 7:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent polls from May 2026 show the AfD leading in Saxony-Anhalt with 41-42% support ahead of the September 6 Landtag election, roughly 15 points ahead of the CDU, amid broader federal coalition dissatisfaction. This positions the party as the clear frontrunner but short of the roughly 50% vote share typically required for an absolute majority of the 83 seats under proportional representation. Smaller parties near the 5% threshold could consolidate additional seats for the AfD if they fall out, yet current distributions leave the outcome short of a majority without further gains. Traders assign the "No" outcome a 55.5% implied probability, reflecting these seat-projection realities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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