Darijana Filipović leads market pricing at 53.5% as the Croatian Democratic Union (HDZ BiH) candidate, the dominant party among Bosnian Croats, with her nomination in mid-April 2026 and established record as a national MP and party vice-president giving her organizational advantages in Croat-majority cantons. Slaven Kovačević follows at 31% due to backing from the Democratic Front and positioning as a continuation of the current civic-oriented approach associated with Željko Komšić. Zdenko Lučić trails at 12.3% after the opposition “Croatian Five” bloc confirmed him in early May and submitted supporting signatures later that month, though the split in anti-HDZ votes limits his consolidation. The October 4, 2026, general election timing and ongoing debates over electoral rules favoring stronger Croat-majority input remain central to trader assessments of these probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Darijana Filipović 53%
Slaven Kovačević 30%
Zdenko Lučić 12.5%
$11,634 交易量
$11,634 交易量
2026-10-04
Darijana Filipović
53%
Slaven Kovačević
30%
Zdenko Lučić
12%
Darijana Filipović 53%
Slaven Kovačević 30%
Zdenko Lučić 12.5%
$11,634 交易量
$11,634 交易量
2026-10-04
Darijana Filipović
$3,392 交易量
53%
Slaven Kovačević
$5,358 交易量
30%
Zdenko Lučić
$2,884 交易量
12%
The Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina is a three-member collective head of state, consisting of one Bosniak member, one Croat member, and one Serb member. The Bosniak and Croat members are elected from the Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina, while the Serb member is elected from Republika Srpska. General elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed individual elected to serve as the Croat member of the Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election.
Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidency members will not count.
If no such Presidency member has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Darijana Filipović leads market pricing at 53.5% as the Croatian Democratic Union (HDZ BiH) candidate, the dominant party among Bosnian Croats, with her nomination in mid-April 2026 and established record as a national MP and party vice-president giving her organizational advantages in Croat-majority cantons. Slaven Kovačević follows at 31% due to backing from the Democratic Front and positioning as a continuation of the current civic-oriented approach associated with Željko Komšić. Zdenko Lučić trails at 12.3% after the opposition “Croatian Five” bloc confirmed him in early May and submitted supporting signatures later that month, though the split in anti-HDZ votes limits his consolidation. The October 4, 2026, general election timing and ongoing debates over electoral rules favoring stronger Croat-majority input remain central to trader assessments of these probabilities.
The Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina is a three-member collective head of state, consisting of one Bosniak member, one Croat member, and one Serb member. The Bosniak and Croat members are elected from the Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina, while the Serb member is elected from Republika Srpska. General elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed individual elected to serve as the Croat member of the Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election.
Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidency members will not count.
If no such Presidency member has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed individual elected to serve as the Croat member of the Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election.
Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidency members will not count.
If no such Presidency member has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： May 12, 2026, 7:51 PM ET
交易量
$11,634结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
May 12, 2026, 7:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina is a three-member collective head of state, consisting of one Bosniak member, one Croat member, and one Serb member. The Bosniak and Croat members are elected from the Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina, while the Serb member is elected from Republika Srpska. General elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed individual elected to serve as the Croat member of the Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election.
Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidency members will not count.
If no such Presidency member has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Darijana Filipović leads market pricing at 53.5% as the Croatian Democratic Union (HDZ BiH) candidate, the dominant party among Bosnian Croats, with her nomination in mid-April 2026 and established record as a national MP and party vice-president giving her organizational advantages in Croat-majority cantons. Slaven Kovačević follows at 31% due to backing from the Democratic Front and positioning as a continuation of the current civic-oriented approach associated with Željko Komšić. Zdenko Lučić trails at 12.3% after the opposition “Croatian Five” bloc confirmed him in early May and submitted supporting signatures later that month, though the split in anti-HDZ votes limits his consolidation. The October 4, 2026, general election timing and ongoing debates over electoral rules favoring stronger Croat-majority input remain central to trader assessments of these probabilities.
The Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina is a three-member collective head of state, consisting of one Bosniak member, one Croat member, and one Serb member. The Bosniak and Croat members are elected from the Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina, while the Serb member is elected from Republika Srpska. General elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed individual elected to serve as the Croat member of the Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election.
Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidency members will not count.
If no such Presidency member has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed individual elected to serve as the Croat member of the Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election.
Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidency members will not count.
If no such Presidency member has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$11,634结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
May 12, 2026, 7:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Darijana Filipović leads market pricing at 53.5% as the Croatian Democratic Union (HDZ BiH) candidate, the dominant party among Bosnian Croats, with her nomination in mid-April 2026 and established record as a national MP and party vice-president giving her organizational advantages in Croat-majority cantons. Slaven Kovačević follows at 31% due to backing from the Democratic Front and positioning as a continuation of the current civic-oriented approach associated with Željko Komšić. Zdenko Lučić trails at 12.3% after the opposition “Croatian Five” bloc confirmed him in early May and submitted supporting signatures later that month, though the split in anti-HDZ votes limits his consolidation. The October 4, 2026, general election timing and ongoing debates over electoral rules favoring stronger Croat-majority input remain central to trader assessments of these probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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