Trader consensus heavily favors Graham Platner at over 90% implied probability to win Maine's Democratic Senate primary on June 9, driven by recent polls showing him with commanding double-digit leads over Gov. Janet Mills, including a March 19-23 Impact Research survey (66%-28%) and an Emerson College poll last week placing him at 55%. Progressive endorsements like Sen. Elizabeth Warren's March 19 backing have bolstered his outsider appeal as a combat veteran and oyster farmer challenging the establishment, amid strong support across demographics including seniors and women. Scenarios that could shift odds include Mills consolidating institutional Democratic backing, effective attacks on Platner's past social media posts or a reported DUI gaining traction, or shifts in turnout favoring incumbency advantages in the ranked-choice primary.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于分组项标题：格雷厄姆·普拉特纳 91%
珍妮特·米尔斯 9%
分组条目标题：Chellie Pingree <1%
贾里德·戈尔登 <1%
$2,093,884 交易量
$2,093,884 交易量
分组项标题：格雷厄姆·普拉特纳
91%
珍妮特·米尔斯
9%
丹·克莱班
<1%
分组条目标题：Chellie Pingree
<1%
乔丹·伍德
<1%
分组项标题：特洛伊·杰克逊
<1%
贾里德·戈尔登
<1%
分组项标题：格雷厄姆·普拉特纳 91%
珍妮特·米尔斯 9%
分组条目标题：Chellie Pingree <1%
贾里德·戈尔登 <1%
$2,093,884 交易量
$2,093,884 交易量
分组项标题：格雷厄姆·普拉特纳
91%
珍妮特·米尔斯
9%
丹·克莱班
<1%
分组条目标题：Chellie Pingree
<1%
乔丹·伍德
<1%
分组项标题：特洛伊·杰克逊
<1%
贾里德·戈尔登
<1%
If no 2026 Maine Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Maine Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
市场开放时间： Sep 15, 2025, 3:40 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Maine Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Maine Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors Graham Platner at over 90% implied probability to win Maine's Democratic Senate primary on June 9, driven by recent polls showing him with commanding double-digit leads over Gov. Janet Mills, including a March 19-23 Impact Research survey (66%-28%) and an Emerson College poll last week placing him at 55%. Progressive endorsements like Sen. Elizabeth Warren's March 19 backing have bolstered his outsider appeal as a combat veteran and oyster farmer challenging the establishment, amid strong support across demographics including seniors and women. Scenarios that could shift odds include Mills consolidating institutional Democratic backing, effective attacks on Platner's past social media posts or a reported DUI gaining traction, or shifts in turnout favoring incumbency advantages in the ranked-choice primary.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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