Incumbent Democrat Susan Wild holds a clear edge in Pennsylvania's 7th Congressional District House race, reflected in trader consensus pricing Democrats at 66.5% to win versus Republicans at 37.0%, driven by her established fundraising superiority—over $3 million cash-on-hand—and consistent polling leads in this Lehigh Valley swing district. A recent Emerson College poll from October 23-24 showed Wild ahead 47%-43% among likely voters, bolstered by strong Democratic turnout expectations in suburban battlegrounds amid national trends favoring incumbents on issues like abortion rights and border security. Republican challenger Ryan Mackenzie, a state representative, has narrowed the gap through aggressive ad spending but trails in key voter blocs; with early voting underway ahead of the November 5 election, any shifts in turnout or late scandals could influence the closely watched outcome in this toss-up district critical to House control.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于NEW
NEW
Nov 4, 2026
民主党
59%
共和党
34%
NEW
NEW
Nov 4, 2026
民主党
$3,114 交易量
59%
共和党
$0 交易量
34%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Susan Wild holds a clear edge in Pennsylvania's 7th Congressional District House race, reflected in trader consensus pricing Democrats at 66.5% to win versus Republicans at 37.0%, driven by her established fundraising superiority—over $3 million cash-on-hand—and consistent polling leads in this Lehigh Valley swing district. A recent Emerson College poll from October 23-24 showed Wild ahead 47%-43% among likely voters, bolstered by strong Democratic turnout expectations in suburban battlegrounds amid national trends favoring incumbents on issues like abortion rights and border security. Republican challenger Ryan Mackenzie, a state representative, has narrowed the gap through aggressive ad spending but trails in key voter blocs; with early voting underway ahead of the November 5 election, any shifts in turnout or late scandals could influence the closely watched outcome in this toss-up district critical to House control.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ET
交易量
$3,114结束日期
Nov 4, 2026市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Susan Wild holds a clear edge in Pennsylvania's 7th Congressional District House race, reflected in trader consensus pricing Democrats at 66.5% to win versus Republicans at 37.0%, driven by her established fundraising superiority—over $3 million cash-on-hand—and consistent polling leads in this Lehigh Valley swing district. A recent Emerson College poll from October 23-24 showed Wild ahead 47%-43% among likely voters, bolstered by strong Democratic turnout expectations in suburban battlegrounds amid national trends favoring incumbents on issues like abortion rights and border security. Republican challenger Ryan Mackenzie, a state representative, has narrowed the gap through aggressive ad spending but trails in key voter blocs; with early voting underway ahead of the November 5 election, any shifts in turnout or late scandals could influence the closely watched outcome in this toss-up district critical to House control.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$3,114结束日期
Nov 4, 2026市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Susan Wild holds a clear edge in Pennsylvania's 7th Congressional District House race, reflected in trader consensus pricing Democrats at 66.5% to win versus Republicans at 37.0%, driven by her established fundraising superiority—over $3 million cash-on-hand—and consistent polling leads in this Lehigh Valley swing district. A recent Emerson College poll from October 23-24 showed Wild ahead 47%-43% among likely voters, bolstered by strong Democratic turnout expectations in suburban battlegrounds amid national trends favoring incumbents on issues like abortion rights and border security. Republican challenger Ryan Mackenzie, a state representative, has narrowed the gap through aggressive ad spending but trails in key voter blocs; with early voting underway ahead of the November 5 election, any shifts in turnout or late scandals could influence the closely watched outcome in this toss-up district critical to House control.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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