Trader consensus favors the Democratic Party at 68% in Pennsylvania's 8th Congressional District House race, driven by a recent Public Policy Polling survey showing Scranton Mayor Paige Cognetti leading incumbent Rep. Rob Bresnahan by 2 points (45%-43%). Gov. Josh Shapiro's February endorsement of Cognetti, combined with Bresnahan's noted stumbles and stock trading scrutiny, has boosted Democratic momentum in this R+4 battleground, which saw a razor-thin 2024 Republican win. Despite ratings like Cook Political Report's Lean Republican, recent generic ballot polls showing Democrats up slightly and the May 19 primaries approaching underscore the closely contested path-to-victory dynamics shaping odds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-04
民主党
67%
共和党
32%
最新
最新
2026-11-04
民主党
$198 交易量
67%
共和党
$15 交易量
32%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus favors the Democratic Party at 68% in Pennsylvania's 8th Congressional District House race, driven by a recent Public Policy Polling survey showing Scranton Mayor Paige Cognetti leading incumbent Rep. Rob Bresnahan by 2 points (45%-43%). Gov. Josh Shapiro's February endorsement of Cognetti, combined with Bresnahan's noted stumbles and stock trading scrutiny, has boosted Democratic momentum in this R+4 battleground, which saw a razor-thin 2024 Republican win. Despite ratings like Cook Political Report's Lean Republican, recent generic ballot polls showing Democrats up slightly and the May 19 primaries approaching underscore the closely contested path-to-victory dynamics shaping odds.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ET
交易量
$213结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus favors the Democratic Party at 68% in Pennsylvania's 8th Congressional District House race, driven by a recent Public Policy Polling survey showing Scranton Mayor Paige Cognetti leading incumbent Rep. Rob Bresnahan by 2 points (45%-43%). Gov. Josh Shapiro's February endorsement of Cognetti, combined with Bresnahan's noted stumbles and stock trading scrutiny, has boosted Democratic momentum in this R+4 battleground, which saw a razor-thin 2024 Republican win. Despite ratings like Cook Political Report's Lean Republican, recent generic ballot polls showing Democrats up slightly and the May 19 primaries approaching underscore the closely contested path-to-victory dynamics shaping odds.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$213结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors the Democratic Party at 68% in Pennsylvania's 8th Congressional District House race, driven by a recent Public Policy Polling survey showing Scranton Mayor Paige Cognetti leading incumbent Rep. Rob Bresnahan by 2 points (45%-43%). Gov. Josh Shapiro's February endorsement of Cognetti, combined with Bresnahan's noted stumbles and stock trading scrutiny, has boosted Democratic momentum in this R+4 battleground, which saw a razor-thin 2024 Republican win. Despite ratings like Cook Political Report's Lean Republican, recent generic ballot polls showing Democrats up slightly and the May 19 primaries approaching underscore the closely contested path-to-victory dynamics shaping odds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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