Dan Meuser holds a commanding position in the Pennsylvania 9th congressional district race due to the seat’s consistent Republican lean, reflected in its R+19 Cook Partisan Voter Index and repeated double-digit GOP margins in recent presidential and Senate contests. As the unopposed incumbent since 2019, Meuser benefits from strong name recognition, established fundraising networks exceeding $1.6 million, and broad institutional support within the party. Rachel Wallace, the Democratic nominee who also ran unopposed in the May primary, faces structural headwinds including a sizable Republican registration advantage across the district’s rural and small-city counties. Forecasters rate the contest Safe or Solid Republican. A late-breaking scandal, significant health event, or unusually strong national Democratic wave would be required to meaningfully alter the outcome before November 3.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$22,210 交易量
$22,210 交易量
丹·梅瑟(共和党)
96%
雷切尔·华莱士(民主党)
4%
$22,210 交易量
$22,210 交易量
丹·梅瑟(共和党)
96%
雷切尔·华莱士(民主党)
4%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Dan Meuser holds a commanding position in the Pennsylvania 9th congressional district race due to the seat’s consistent Republican lean, reflected in its R+19 Cook Partisan Voter Index and repeated double-digit GOP margins in recent presidential and Senate contests. As the unopposed incumbent since 2019, Meuser benefits from strong name recognition, established fundraising networks exceeding $1.6 million, and broad institutional support within the party. Rachel Wallace, the Democratic nominee who also ran unopposed in the May primary, faces structural headwinds including a sizable Republican registration advantage across the district’s rural and small-city counties. Forecasters rate the contest Safe or Solid Republican. A late-breaking scandal, significant health event, or unusually strong national Democratic wave would be required to meaningfully alter the outcome before November 3.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于


警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题