Nevada voters approved Ballot Question 1, a constitutional amendment protecting abortion rights up to 24 weeks with exceptions, by a decisive 64% to 36% margin in the November 5, 2024 general election, driving the strong trader consensus reflected in the 79.5% implied probability for passage. The measure now advances to a required second voter ratification in the 2026 general election, where historical precedents show amendments passing first votes with supermajorities often succeed on retry amid sustained public support. Recent certification of election results by the Secretary of State on November 25 without legal challenges or recounts has solidified momentum, while pre-election polling averages consistently forecasted 60%+ yes support in the battleground state. Absent major shifts like ballot challenges or turnout changes, traders anticipate enduring backing from key demographics including women and independents ahead of the 2026 vote.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于是
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Nov 3, 2026
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Nov 3, 2026
Nevada voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a constitutional amendment (Question 6) which, if passed, would enshrine the right to abortion in the Nevada Constitution. Under Nevada's constitution, citizen-initiated constitutional amendments must be approved in two successive general elections to take effect. The 2026 vote is the required second and final ratification.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nevada Question 6, the Right to Abortion Initiative, passes according to Nevada election procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If Question 6 is removed from the 2026 midterm election ballot in Nevada, this market will resolve immediately to "No."
If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Nevada, specifically the Nevada Secretary of State (https://www.nvsos.gov).Nevada voters approved Ballot Question 1, a constitutional amendment protecting abortion rights up to 24 weeks with exceptions, by a decisive 64% to 36% margin in the November 5, 2024 general election, driving the strong trader consensus reflected in the 79.5% implied probability for passage. The measure now advances to a required second voter ratification in the 2026 general election, where historical precedents show amendments passing first votes with supermajorities often succeed on retry amid sustained public support. Recent certification of election results by the Secretary of State on November 25 without legal challenges or recounts has solidified momentum, while pre-election polling averages consistently forecasted 60%+ yes support in the battleground state. Absent major shifts like ballot challenges or turnout changes, traders anticipate enduring backing from key demographics including women and independents ahead of the 2026 vote.
Nevada voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a constitutional amendment (Question 6) which, if passed, would enshrine the right to abortion in the Nevada Constitution. Under Nevada's constitution, citizen-initiated constitutional amendments must be approved in two successive general elections to take effect. The 2026 vote is the required second and final ratification.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nevada Question 6, the Right to Abortion Initiative, passes according to Nevada election procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If Question 6 is removed from the 2026 midterm election ballot in Nevada, this market will resolve immediately to "No."
If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Nevada, specifically the Nevada Secretary of State (https://www.nvsos.gov).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nevada Question 6, the Right to Abortion Initiative, passes according to Nevada election procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If Question 6 is removed from the 2026 midterm election ballot in Nevada, this market will resolve immediately to "No."
If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Nevada, specifically the Nevada Secretary of State (https://www.nvsos.gov).
市场开放时间： Mar 2, 2026, 6:09 PM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
Nov 3, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 2, 2026, 6:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Nevada voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a constitutional amendment (Question 6) which, if passed, would enshrine the right to abortion in the Nevada Constitution. Under Nevada's constitution, citizen-initiated constitutional amendments must be approved in two successive general elections to take effect. The 2026 vote is the required second and final ratification.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nevada Question 6, the Right to Abortion Initiative, passes according to Nevada election procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If Question 6 is removed from the 2026 midterm election ballot in Nevada, this market will resolve immediately to "No."
If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Nevada, specifically the Nevada Secretary of State (https://www.nvsos.gov).Nevada voters approved Ballot Question 1, a constitutional amendment protecting abortion rights up to 24 weeks with exceptions, by a decisive 64% to 36% margin in the November 5, 2024 general election, driving the strong trader consensus reflected in the 79.5% implied probability for passage. The measure now advances to a required second voter ratification in the 2026 general election, where historical precedents show amendments passing first votes with supermajorities often succeed on retry amid sustained public support. Recent certification of election results by the Secretary of State on November 25 without legal challenges or recounts has solidified momentum, while pre-election polling averages consistently forecasted 60%+ yes support in the battleground state. Absent major shifts like ballot challenges or turnout changes, traders anticipate enduring backing from key demographics including women and independents ahead of the 2026 vote.
Nevada voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a constitutional amendment (Question 6) which, if passed, would enshrine the right to abortion in the Nevada Constitution. Under Nevada's constitution, citizen-initiated constitutional amendments must be approved in two successive general elections to take effect. The 2026 vote is the required second and final ratification.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nevada Question 6, the Right to Abortion Initiative, passes according to Nevada election procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If Question 6 is removed from the 2026 midterm election ballot in Nevada, this market will resolve immediately to "No."
If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Nevada, specifically the Nevada Secretary of State (https://www.nvsos.gov).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nevada Question 6, the Right to Abortion Initiative, passes according to Nevada election procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If Question 6 is removed from the 2026 midterm election ballot in Nevada, this market will resolve immediately to "No."
If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Nevada, specifically the Nevada Secretary of State (https://www.nvsos.gov).
交易量
$0结束日期
Nov 3, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 2, 2026, 6:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Nevada voters approved Ballot Question 1, a constitutional amendment protecting abortion rights up to 24 weeks with exceptions, by a decisive 64% to 36% margin in the November 5, 2024 general election, driving the strong trader consensus reflected in the 79.5% implied probability for passage. The measure now advances to a required second voter ratification in the 2026 general election, where historical precedents show amendments passing first votes with supermajorities often succeed on retry amid sustained public support. Recent certification of election results by the Secretary of State on November 25 without legal challenges or recounts has solidified momentum, while pre-election polling averages consistently forecasted 60%+ yes support in the battleground state. Absent major shifts like ballot challenges or turnout changes, traders anticipate enduring backing from key demographics including women and independents ahead of the 2026 vote.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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