Following the March 3, 2026 primaries, Polymarket traders price Republicans at 56% and Democrats at 43.5% to win Texas's U.S. Senate seat on November 3, reflecting a closely contested midterm race amid strong Democratic turnout. State Rep. James Talarico captured the Democratic nomination by defeating U.S. Rep. Jasmine Crockett, signaling energized urban and suburban voting blocs in a state with growing blue strongholds. Incumbent Sen. John Cornyn advances to a May 26 Republican runoff against Attorney General Ken Paxton after falling short of a primary majority, exposing intraparty tensions over conservative credentials that could suppress GOP base enthusiasm. Texas's historical Republican dominance and incumbency edge sustain the trader tilt, though early polls indicate Talarico's competitiveness against both potential nominees.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于$158,739 交易量
$158,739 交易量
Nov 3, 2026
共和党
56%
民主党
44%
$158,739 交易量
$158,739 交易量
Nov 3, 2026
共和党
$88,047 交易量
56%
民主党
$70,692 交易量
44%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Following the March 3, 2026 primaries, Polymarket traders price Republicans at 56% and Democrats at 43.5% to win Texas's U.S. Senate seat on November 3, reflecting a closely contested midterm race amid strong Democratic turnout. State Rep. James Talarico captured the Democratic nomination by defeating U.S. Rep. Jasmine Crockett, signaling energized urban and suburban voting blocs in a state with growing blue strongholds. Incumbent Sen. John Cornyn advances to a May 26 Republican runoff against Attorney General Ken Paxton after falling short of a primary majority, exposing intraparty tensions over conservative credentials that could suppress GOP base enthusiasm. Texas's historical Republican dominance and incumbency edge sustain the trader tilt, though early polls indicate Talarico's competitiveness against both potential nominees.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间： Oct 13, 2025, 4:57 PM ET
交易量
$158,739结束日期
Nov 3, 2026市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 4:57 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Following the March 3, 2026 primaries, Polymarket traders price Republicans at 56% and Democrats at 43.5% to win Texas's U.S. Senate seat on November 3, reflecting a closely contested midterm race amid strong Democratic turnout. State Rep. James Talarico captured the Democratic nomination by defeating U.S. Rep. Jasmine Crockett, signaling energized urban and suburban voting blocs in a state with growing blue strongholds. Incumbent Sen. John Cornyn advances to a May 26 Republican runoff against Attorney General Ken Paxton after falling short of a primary majority, exposing intraparty tensions over conservative credentials that could suppress GOP base enthusiasm. Texas's historical Republican dominance and incumbency edge sustain the trader tilt, though early polls indicate Talarico's competitiveness against both potential nominees.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$158,739结束日期
Nov 3, 2026市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 4:57 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Following the March 3, 2026 primaries, Polymarket traders price Republicans at 56% and Democrats at 43.5% to win Texas's U.S. Senate seat on November 3, reflecting a closely contested midterm race amid strong Democratic turnout. State Rep. James Talarico captured the Democratic nomination by defeating U.S. Rep. Jasmine Crockett, signaling energized urban and suburban voting blocs in a state with growing blue strongholds. Incumbent Sen. John Cornyn advances to a May 26 Republican runoff against Attorney General Ken Paxton after falling short of a primary majority, exposing intraparty tensions over conservative credentials that could suppress GOP base enthusiasm. Texas's historical Republican dominance and incumbency edge sustain the trader tilt, though early polls indicate Talarico's competitiveness against both potential nominees.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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