The Texas Senate race remains tightly contested as traders assign Republicans a narrow edge, reflecting the state's longstanding Republican tilt in federal elections alongside Democratic gains in suburban and urban areas. James Talarico, the Democratic nominee, has posted competitive or leading numbers in recent general-election polling against both John Cornyn and Ken Paxton, the Republican runoff participants whose May 26 contest will set the party's general-election nominee. The slim margin in current pricing captures uncertainty over nominee strength, turnout patterns, and national political conditions heading into November 2026, with any decisive primary outcome or shift in polling averages likely to produce clearer separation in market probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$204,706 交易量
$204,706 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
53%
民主党
47%
$204,706 交易量
$204,706 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$113,076 交易量
53%
民主党
$91,631 交易量
47%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.The Texas Senate race remains tightly contested as traders assign Republicans a narrow edge, reflecting the state's longstanding Republican tilt in federal elections alongside Democratic gains in suburban and urban areas. James Talarico, the Democratic nominee, has posted competitive or leading numbers in recent general-election polling against both John Cornyn and Ken Paxton, the Republican runoff participants whose May 26 contest will set the party's general-election nominee. The slim margin in current pricing captures uncertainty over nominee strength, turnout patterns, and national political conditions heading into November 2026, with any decisive primary outcome or shift in polling averages likely to produce clearer separation in market probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间： Oct 13, 2025, 4:57 PM ET
交易量
$204,706结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 4:57 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.The Texas Senate race remains tightly contested as traders assign Republicans a narrow edge, reflecting the state's longstanding Republican tilt in federal elections alongside Democratic gains in suburban and urban areas. James Talarico, the Democratic nominee, has posted competitive or leading numbers in recent general-election polling against both John Cornyn and Ken Paxton, the Republican runoff participants whose May 26 contest will set the party's general-election nominee. The slim margin in current pricing captures uncertainty over nominee strength, turnout patterns, and national political conditions heading into November 2026, with any decisive primary outcome or shift in polling averages likely to produce clearer separation in market probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$204,706结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 4:57 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Texas Senate race remains tightly contested as traders assign Republicans a narrow edge, reflecting the state's longstanding Republican tilt in federal elections alongside Democratic gains in suburban and urban areas. James Talarico, the Democratic nominee, has posted competitive or leading numbers in recent general-election polling against both John Cornyn and Ken Paxton, the Republican runoff participants whose May 26 contest will set the party's general-election nominee. The slim margin in current pricing captures uncertainty over nominee strength, turnout patterns, and national political conditions heading into November 2026, with any decisive primary outcome or shift in polling averages likely to produce clearer separation in market probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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