Recent polling in Texas shows James Talarico holding narrow leads or ties against both John Cornyn and Ken Paxton in head-to-head general election scenarios, reflecting a competitive environment where Democratic turnout in urban and suburban areas offsets Republican advantages in rural regions. The May 26 Republican runoff between Cornyn and Paxton has delayed full party consolidation, contributing to the slim 6.5-point spread in trader consensus for the eventual Republican nominee. Talarico’s March primary victory over Jasmine Crockett has positioned a younger, high-profile candidate capable of broadening the Democratic appeal in a state with shifting demographics. Upcoming consolidation behind the Republican nominee, combined with November turnout patterns and any shifts in national political conditions, could widen the gap or sustain the current tightness through election day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$228,084 交易量
$228,084 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
54%
民主党
47%
$228,084 交易量
$228,084 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$122,711 交易量
54%
民主党
$105,373 交易量
47%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Recent polling in Texas shows James Talarico holding narrow leads or ties against both John Cornyn and Ken Paxton in head-to-head general election scenarios, reflecting a competitive environment where Democratic turnout in urban and suburban areas offsets Republican advantages in rural regions. The May 26 Republican runoff between Cornyn and Paxton has delayed full party consolidation, contributing to the slim 6.5-point spread in trader consensus for the eventual Republican nominee. Talarico’s March primary victory over Jasmine Crockett has positioned a younger, high-profile candidate capable of broadening the Democratic appeal in a state with shifting demographics. Upcoming consolidation behind the Republican nominee, combined with November turnout patterns and any shifts in national political conditions, could widen the gap or sustain the current tightness through election day.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间： Oct 13, 2025, 4:57 PM ET
交易量
$228,084结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 4:57 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Recent polling in Texas shows James Talarico holding narrow leads or ties against both John Cornyn and Ken Paxton in head-to-head general election scenarios, reflecting a competitive environment where Democratic turnout in urban and suburban areas offsets Republican advantages in rural regions. The May 26 Republican runoff between Cornyn and Paxton has delayed full party consolidation, contributing to the slim 6.5-point spread in trader consensus for the eventual Republican nominee. Talarico’s March primary victory over Jasmine Crockett has positioned a younger, high-profile candidate capable of broadening the Democratic appeal in a state with shifting demographics. Upcoming consolidation behind the Republican nominee, combined with November turnout patterns and any shifts in national political conditions, could widen the gap or sustain the current tightness through election day.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$228,084结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 4:57 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polling in Texas shows James Talarico holding narrow leads or ties against both John Cornyn and Ken Paxton in head-to-head general election scenarios, reflecting a competitive environment where Democratic turnout in urban and suburban areas offsets Republican advantages in rural regions. The May 26 Republican runoff between Cornyn and Paxton has delayed full party consolidation, contributing to the slim 6.5-point spread in trader consensus for the eventual Republican nominee. Talarico’s March primary victory over Jasmine Crockett has positioned a younger, high-profile candidate capable of broadening the Democratic appeal in a state with shifting demographics. Upcoming consolidation behind the Republican nominee, combined with November turnout patterns and any shifts in national political conditions, could widen the gap or sustain the current tightness through election day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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