Recent polls ahead of Sweden's September 13, 2026, Riksdag election show the Social Democrats maintaining a clear lead near 32 percent, positioning the Sweden Democrats and Moderate Party in a tight contest for second. SD has held a modest edge in most May-June surveys at 19-20 percent versus 17-18 percent for the Moderates, reflecting stable support within the right-of-center bloc that has backed the current government since 2022. Recent tightening of citizenship rules and related parliamentary disputes have underscored SD's policy influence without shifting overall voter intentions. Traders appear to weigh these consistent polling trends and bloc dynamics when pricing SD as the narrow frontrunner for second place.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Sweden Democrats (SD) 53%
Moderate Party (M) 31%
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) 5.7%
Liberals (L) 4.9%

Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)
6%

Sweden Democrats (SD)
53%

Moderate Party (M)
31%

Centre Party (C)
1%

Left Party (V)
1%

Christian Democrats (KD)
1%

Green Party (MP)
1%

Liberals (L)
5%

Citizens' Coalition (MED)
1%
Sweden Democrats (SD) 53%
Moderate Party (M) 31%
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) 5.7%
Liberals (L) 4.9%

Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)
6%

Sweden Democrats (SD)
53%

Moderate Party (M)
31%

Centre Party (C)
1%

Left Party (V)
1%

Christian Democrats (KD)
1%

Green Party (MP)
1%

Liberals (L)
5%

Citizens' Coalition (MED)
1%
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
市场开放时间: May 19, 2026, 4:45 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls ahead of Sweden's September 13, 2026, Riksdag election show the Social Democrats maintaining a clear lead near 32 percent, positioning the Sweden Democrats and Moderate Party in a tight contest for second. SD has held a modest edge in most May-June surveys at 19-20 percent versus 17-18 percent for the Moderates, reflecting stable support within the right-of-center bloc that has backed the current government since 2022. Recent tightening of citizenship rules and related parliamentary disputes have underscored SD's policy influence without shifting overall voter intentions. Traders appear to weigh these consistent polling trends and bloc dynamics when pricing SD as the narrow frontrunner for second place.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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