**Kentucky’s 4th Congressional District Republican primary on May 19 produced 105,361 votes, placing turnout squarely inside the 100-110k range that now holds a 99.5% market share.** The elevated participation stemmed from an unusually competitive and expensive contest between incumbent Thomas Massie and challenger Ed Gallrein, who received President Trump’s endorsement and substantial outside spending. This mobilization roughly doubled the district’s 2024 Republican primary total and exceeded earlier statewide projections of just over 20% turnout. Republican primary participation across Kentucky reached approximately 29% of registered voters, the highest midterm primary rate since 2014, while district-level turnout registered slightly below the statewide average at roughly 25.3%. Official certification remains pending, so modest revisions to the final tally could theoretically shift the result into an adjacent bin, though the current reported total sits comfortably inside the leading range with little indication of material change.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于100-110k 99.5%
90-100k 4.9%
<80k 1.9%
80-90k 1.0%
$48,111 交易量
$48,111 交易量
<80k
2%
80-90k
1%
90-100k
5%
100-110k
100%
110-120k
<1%
120k+
<1%
100-110k 99.5%
90-100k 4.9%
<80k 1.9%
80-90k 1.0%
$48,111 交易量
$48,111 交易量
<80k
2%
80-90k
1%
90-100k
5%
100-110k
100%
110-120k
<1%
120k+
<1%
This market will resolve according to the total vote count in the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary election (the race’s total official contest votes).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the election aren’t known by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official KY-04 Republican Primary results published by the Kentucky State Board of Elections and/or the Kentucky Secretary of State; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
市场开放时间： May 18, 2026, 12:16 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total vote count in the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary election (the race’s total official contest votes).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the election aren’t known by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official KY-04 Republican Primary results published by the Kentucky State Board of Elections and/or the Kentucky Secretary of State; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**Kentucky’s 4th Congressional District Republican primary on May 19 produced 105,361 votes, placing turnout squarely inside the 100-110k range that now holds a 99.5% market share.** The elevated participation stemmed from an unusually competitive and expensive contest between incumbent Thomas Massie and challenger Ed Gallrein, who received President Trump’s endorsement and substantial outside spending. This mobilization roughly doubled the district’s 2024 Republican primary total and exceeded earlier statewide projections of just over 20% turnout. Republican primary participation across Kentucky reached approximately 29% of registered voters, the highest midterm primary rate since 2014, while district-level turnout registered slightly below the statewide average at roughly 25.3%. Official certification remains pending, so modest revisions to the final tally could theoretically shift the result into an adjacent bin, though the current reported total sits comfortably inside the leading range with little indication of material change.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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