Morena holds a commanding lead in the 2027 Mexican legislative election for the Chamber of Deputies due to its sustained dominance since the 2024 results, where its coalition secured a supermajority of seats and control over key legislative processes. President Claudia Sheinbaum’s administration has maintained policy continuity on social programs and institutional influence, while opposition parties including PRI, PAN, and MC remain fragmented with limited recent gains in polling or state-level contests. Traders price in these structural advantages, reflected in the market’s 97.3% consensus for Morena as the seat winner. Potential shifts could arise from economic pressures, coalition adjustments ahead of the June 2027 vote, or unexpected turnout changes, though no major developments in the past month have altered this positioning.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Morena 97.3%
PRI 1.1%
PVEM <1%
PAN <1%
$41,843 交易量
$41,843 交易量
2027-06-06
Morena
97%
PRI
1%
PVEM
1%
PAN
1%
MC
<1%
PT
<1%
Morena 97.3%
PRI 1.1%
PVEM <1%
PAN <1%
$41,843 交易量
$41,843 交易量
2027-06-06
Morena
$16,668 交易量
97%
PRI
$4,262 交易量
1%
PVEM
$5,131 交易量
1%
PAN
$4,528 交易量
1%
MC
$6,734 交易量
<1%
PT
$4,520 交易量
<1%
A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes in this election. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).Morena holds a commanding lead in the 2027 Mexican legislative election for the Chamber of Deputies due to its sustained dominance since the 2024 results, where its coalition secured a supermajority of seats and control over key legislative processes. President Claudia Sheinbaum’s administration has maintained policy continuity on social programs and institutional influence, while opposition parties including PRI, PAN, and MC remain fragmented with limited recent gains in polling or state-level contests. Traders price in these structural advantages, reflected in the market’s 97.3% consensus for Morena as the seat winner. Potential shifts could arise from economic pressures, coalition adjustments ahead of the June 2027 vote, or unexpected turnout changes, though no major developments in the past month have altered this positioning.
A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes in this election. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes in this election. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
市场开放时间： May 15, 2026, 6:45 PM ET
交易量
$41,843结束日期
2027-06-06市场开放时间
May 15, 2026, 6:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes in this election. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).Morena holds a commanding lead in the 2027 Mexican legislative election for the Chamber of Deputies due to its sustained dominance since the 2024 results, where its coalition secured a supermajority of seats and control over key legislative processes. President Claudia Sheinbaum’s administration has maintained policy continuity on social programs and institutional influence, while opposition parties including PRI, PAN, and MC remain fragmented with limited recent gains in polling or state-level contests. Traders price in these structural advantages, reflected in the market’s 97.3% consensus for Morena as the seat winner. Potential shifts could arise from economic pressures, coalition adjustments ahead of the June 2027 vote, or unexpected turnout changes, though no major developments in the past month have altered this positioning.
A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes in this election. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes in this election. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
交易量
$41,843结束日期
2027-06-06市场开放时间
May 15, 2026, 6:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Morena holds a commanding lead in the 2027 Mexican legislative election for the Chamber of Deputies due to its sustained dominance since the 2024 results, where its coalition secured a supermajority of seats and control over key legislative processes. President Claudia Sheinbaum’s administration has maintained policy continuity on social programs and institutional influence, while opposition parties including PRI, PAN, and MC remain fragmented with limited recent gains in polling or state-level contests. Traders price in these structural advantages, reflected in the market’s 97.3% consensus for Morena as the seat winner. Potential shifts could arise from economic pressures, coalition adjustments ahead of the June 2027 vote, or unexpected turnout changes, though no major developments in the past month have altered this positioning.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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