Morena maintains a commanding lead in trader pricing for the Mexico legislative election due to its sustained dominance in national polls and control of the presidency, enabling strong coalition coordination with aligned parties like PVEM and PT. Recent executive actions on energy policy and social spending have consolidated support in key districts, widening the gap over opposition contenders. PRI, PAN, and MC face persistent challenges from fragmented voter bases and weaker district-level organization, limiting their ability to challenge for a majority. Upcoming candidate nominations and primary contests remain key variables that could adjust these probabilities before the vote.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Morena 73%
PVEM 23%
MC 17%
PAN 16%

PAN
16%

PRI
14%

PT
13%

PVEM
23%

MC
17%

Morena
73%
Morena 73%
PVEM 23%
MC 17%
PAN 16%

PAN
16%

PRI
14%

PT
13%

PVEM
23%

MC
17%

Morena
73%
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes in this election. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
市场开放时间: May 15, 2026, 6:45 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes in this election. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Morena maintains a commanding lead in trader pricing for the Mexico legislative election due to its sustained dominance in national polls and control of the presidency, enabling strong coalition coordination with aligned parties like PVEM and PT. Recent executive actions on energy policy and social spending have consolidated support in key districts, widening the gap over opposition contenders. PRI, PAN, and MC face persistent challenges from fragmented voter bases and weaker district-level organization, limiting their ability to challenge for a majority. Upcoming candidate nominations and primary contests remain key variables that could adjust these probabilities before the vote.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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