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政治·主要

佐治亚州州长民主党初选获胜者

Market icon
政治·主要

佐治亚州州长民主党初选获胜者

凯莎·兰斯·博托姆斯 71%

杰森·埃斯特维斯 18%

杰夫·邓肯 6%

迈克·瑟蒙德 5.8%

Polymarket

$116,261 交易量

凯莎·兰斯·博托姆斯 71%

杰森·埃斯特维斯 18%

杰夫·邓肯 6%

迈克·瑟蒙德 5.8%

Polymarket

$116,261 交易量

凯莎·兰斯·博托姆斯

$20,835 交易量

71%

杰森·埃斯特维斯

$8,477 交易量

18%

杰夫·邓肯

$23,412 交易量

6%

迈克·瑟蒙德

$8,253 交易量

6%

鲁娃·罗曼

$50,754 交易量

<1%

德里克·杰克逊

$2,208 交易量

<1%

奥卢吉米·布朗

$2,528 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Georgia, scheduled to take place on May 19, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Georgia Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Georgia Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Former Atlanta Mayor Keisha Lance Bottoms leads trader consensus at 69.5% implied probability to win Georgia's Democratic gubernatorial primary on May 19, driven by her commanding edge in the late March 20/20 Insights poll (32% to rivals' low teens) amid 30% undecideds and a fragmented seven-candidate field needing a majority to avoid runoff. State Sen. Jason Esteves climbed to second (14% in poll, 18% market) after launching the first major Democratic TV ad buy on March 9, emphasizing safety and opportunity. Ex-Republican Lt. Gov. Geoff Duncan trails at 6% despite his Trump criticism-fueled switch, while veteran Michael Thurmond lingers at 5.8%, with qualifying finalized March 10 setting the stage for Bottoms' consolidation via name recognition.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Georgia, scheduled to take place on May 19, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Georgia Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Georgia Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
交易量
$116,261
结束日期
2026-05-19
市场开放时间
Dec 5, 2025, 7:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Georgia, scheduled to take place on May 19, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Georgia Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Georgia Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Georgia, scheduled to take place on May 19, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Georgia Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Georgia Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Former Atlanta Mayor Keisha Lance Bottoms leads trader consensus at 69.5% implied probability to win Georgia's Democratic gubernatorial primary on May 19, driven by her commanding edge in the late March 20/20 Insights poll (32% to rivals' low teens) amid 30% undecideds and a fragmented seven-candidate field needing a majority to avoid runoff. State Sen. Jason Esteves climbed to second (14% in poll, 18% market) after launching the first major Democratic TV ad buy on March 9, emphasizing safety and opportunity. Ex-Republican Lt. Gov. Geoff Duncan trails at 6% despite his Trump criticism-fueled switch, while veteran Michael Thurmond lingers at 5.8%, with qualifying finalized March 10 setting the stage for Bottoms' consolidation via name recognition.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Georgia, scheduled to take place on May 19, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Georgia Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Georgia Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
交易量
$116,261
结束日期
2026-05-19
市场开放时间
Dec 5, 2025, 7:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Georgia, scheduled to take place on May 19, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Georgia Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Georgia Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"佐治亚州州长民主党初选获胜者"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 7 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"凯莎·兰斯·博托姆斯"，概率为 71%，其次是"杰森·埃斯特维斯"，概率为 18%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 71¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 71%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前，"佐治亚州州长民主党初选获胜者"已产生 $116.3K 的总交易量（自Dec 6, 2025市场上线以来）。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与，并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"佐治亚州州长民主党初选获胜者"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 7 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"佐治亚州州长民主党初选获胜者"的当前领先者是"凯莎·兰斯·博托姆斯"，概率为 71%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 71%。紧随其后的结果是"杰森·埃斯特维斯"，概率为 18%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"佐治亚州州长民主党初选获胜者"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。