California's 26th congressional district maintains a consistent Democratic lean, reflected in the incumbent's 2024 reelection margin and recent nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as solid or safe for the party. With Julia Brownley retiring, several Democrats including state Assemblymember Jacqui Irwin and policy advisor Chris Espinosa are competing in the June 2 primary, while Republican challengers such as Sam Gallucci face a narrower path in the general election. This structure, combined with the district's partisan composition, underpins the current trader consensus on Democratic control. Late shifts could arise from primary outcomes, national midterm dynamics, or turnout variations within the resolution window leading to November 2026.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$26,373 交易量
$26,373 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
93%
共和党
7%
$26,373 交易量
$26,373 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$14,001 交易量
93%
共和党
$12,373 交易量
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 26th congressional district maintains a consistent Democratic lean, reflected in the incumbent's 2024 reelection margin and recent nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as solid or safe for the party. With Julia Brownley retiring, several Democrats including state Assemblymember Jacqui Irwin and policy advisor Chris Espinosa are competing in the June 2 primary, while Republican challengers such as Sam Gallucci face a narrower path in the general election. This structure, combined with the district's partisan composition, underpins the current trader consensus on Democratic control. Late shifts could arise from primary outcomes, national midterm dynamics, or turnout variations within the resolution window leading to November 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
交易量
$26,373结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 26th congressional district maintains a consistent Democratic lean, reflected in the incumbent's 2024 reelection margin and recent nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as solid or safe for the party. With Julia Brownley retiring, several Democrats including state Assemblymember Jacqui Irwin and policy advisor Chris Espinosa are competing in the June 2 primary, while Republican challengers such as Sam Gallucci face a narrower path in the general election. This structure, combined with the district's partisan composition, underpins the current trader consensus on Democratic control. Late shifts could arise from primary outcomes, national midterm dynamics, or turnout variations within the resolution window leading to November 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$26,373结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...California's 26th congressional district maintains a consistent Democratic lean, reflected in the incumbent's 2024 reelection margin and recent nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as solid or safe for the party. With Julia Brownley retiring, several Democrats including state Assemblymember Jacqui Irwin and policy advisor Chris Espinosa are competing in the June 2 primary, while Republican challengers such as Sam Gallucci face a narrower path in the general election. This structure, combined with the district's partisan composition, underpins the current trader consensus on Democratic control. Late shifts could arise from primary outcomes, national midterm dynamics, or turnout variations within the resolution window leading to November 2026.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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