California's 26th congressional district, an open seat following Democrat Julia Brownley's retirement, carries a solid Democratic partisan lean reflected in its Cook Political Voting Index and prior election margins. Multiple Democratic candidates are competing in the June 2 top-two primary, positioning the party to advance a nominee against limited Republican opposition for the November general election. Trader consensus at 92.5% for a Democratic winner aligns with the district's structural advantages and historical voting patterns in Ventura County. A Republican victory would require substantial shifts in turnout or national conditions that have not materialized in recent cycles.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$26,423 交易量
$26,423 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
93%
共和党
7%
$26,423 交易量
$26,423 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$14,026 交易量
93%
共和党
$12,398 交易量
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 26th congressional district, an open seat following Democrat Julia Brownley's retirement, carries a solid Democratic partisan lean reflected in its Cook Political Voting Index and prior election margins. Multiple Democratic candidates are competing in the June 2 top-two primary, positioning the party to advance a nominee against limited Republican opposition for the November general election. Trader consensus at 92.5% for a Democratic winner aligns with the district's structural advantages and historical voting patterns in Ventura County. A Republican victory would require substantial shifts in turnout or national conditions that have not materialized in recent cycles.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
交易量
$26,423结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 26th congressional district, an open seat following Democrat Julia Brownley's retirement, carries a solid Democratic partisan lean reflected in its Cook Political Voting Index and prior election margins. Multiple Democratic candidates are competing in the June 2 top-two primary, positioning the party to advance a nominee against limited Republican opposition for the November general election. Trader consensus at 92.5% for a Democratic winner aligns with the district's structural advantages and historical voting patterns in Ventura County. A Republican victory would require substantial shifts in turnout or national conditions that have not materialized in recent cycles.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$26,423结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...California's 26th congressional district, an open seat following Democrat Julia Brownley's retirement, carries a solid Democratic partisan lean reflected in its Cook Political Voting Index and prior election margins. Multiple Democratic candidates are competing in the June 2 top-two primary, positioning the party to advance a nominee against limited Republican opposition for the November general election. Trader consensus at 92.5% for a Democratic winner aligns with the district's structural advantages and historical voting patterns in Ventura County. A Republican victory would require substantial shifts in turnout or national conditions that have not materialized in recent cycles.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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