Iowa's 4th Congressional District, with its R+15 partisan lean and large evangelical voter base, remains a conservative stronghold, anchoring trader consensus at 89% for a Republican House winner despite the open seat vacated by Rep. Randy Feenstra's October 2025 gubernatorial campaign launch. Recent Republican primary consolidations—Ryan Rhodes withdrawing March 14, Christian Schlaefer suspending March 9, and prior exits like Matt Windschitl's in February—leave Sioux City businessman Chris McGowan as the sole GOP contender, boasting $354,000 cash on hand from December filings. Democrats hold a contested primary among Dave Dawson, Stephanie Steiner, and Ashley WolfTornabane ahead of June 2, but face Feenstra's prior 67% margins; Cook rates the race Solid Republican.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
共和党
89%
民主党
9%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
共和党
$0 交易量
89%
民主党
$0 交易量
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Iowa's 4th Congressional District, with its R+15 partisan lean and large evangelical voter base, remains a conservative stronghold, anchoring trader consensus at 89% for a Republican House winner despite the open seat vacated by Rep. Randy Feenstra's October 2025 gubernatorial campaign launch. Recent Republican primary consolidations—Ryan Rhodes withdrawing March 14, Christian Schlaefer suspending March 9, and prior exits like Matt Windschitl's in February—leave Sioux City businessman Chris McGowan as the sole GOP contender, boasting $354,000 cash on hand from December filings. Democrats hold a contested primary among Dave Dawson, Stephanie Steiner, and Ashley WolfTornabane ahead of June 2, but face Feenstra's prior 67% margins; Cook rates the race Solid Republican.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
Nov 3, 2026市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Iowa's 4th Congressional District, with its R+15 partisan lean and large evangelical voter base, remains a conservative stronghold, anchoring trader consensus at 89% for a Republican House winner despite the open seat vacated by Rep. Randy Feenstra's October 2025 gubernatorial campaign launch. Recent Republican primary consolidations—Ryan Rhodes withdrawing March 14, Christian Schlaefer suspending March 9, and prior exits like Matt Windschitl's in February—leave Sioux City businessman Chris McGowan as the sole GOP contender, boasting $354,000 cash on hand from December filings. Democrats hold a contested primary among Dave Dawson, Stephanie Steiner, and Ashley WolfTornabane ahead of June 2, but face Feenstra's prior 67% margins; Cook rates the race Solid Republican.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$0结束日期
Nov 3, 2026市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Iowa's 4th Congressional District, with its R+15 partisan lean and large evangelical voter base, remains a conservative stronghold, anchoring trader consensus at 89% for a Republican House winner despite the open seat vacated by Rep. Randy Feenstra's October 2025 gubernatorial campaign launch. Recent Republican primary consolidations—Ryan Rhodes withdrawing March 14, Christian Schlaefer suspending March 9, and prior exits like Matt Windschitl's in February—leave Sioux City businessman Chris McGowan as the sole GOP contender, boasting $354,000 cash on hand from December filings. Democrats hold a contested primary among Dave Dawson, Stephanie Steiner, and Ashley WolfTornabane ahead of June 2, but face Feenstra's prior 67% margins; Cook rates the race Solid Republican.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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