Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Democrats at 52.5% to win Iowa's 1st Congressional District House seat, ahead of Republicans at 32%, reflecting incumbent GOP Rep. Mariannette Miller-Meeks' ongoing vulnerability from her 2024 victory margin of just 799 votes over Christina Bohannan and a December residency shift outside the district that has fueled criticism. A GOP primary challenge from Tyler Hegewald, launched late last year, risks splitting Republican resources ahead of the June 2 primaries, whose ballots were finalized March 17. Bohannan leads the Democratic primary field per early indicators, bolstering flip potential in this closely contested R+3 battleground amid national generic ballot trends favoring Democrats by 2 points.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于NEW
NEW
Nov 4, 2026
民主党
72%
共和党
29%
NEW
NEW
Nov 4, 2026
民主党
$0 交易量
72%
共和党
$131 交易量
29%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Democrats at 52.5% to win Iowa's 1st Congressional District House seat, ahead of Republicans at 32%, reflecting incumbent GOP Rep. Mariannette Miller-Meeks' ongoing vulnerability from her 2024 victory margin of just 799 votes over Christina Bohannan and a December residency shift outside the district that has fueled criticism. A GOP primary challenge from Tyler Hegewald, launched late last year, risks splitting Republican resources ahead of the June 2 primaries, whose ballots were finalized March 17. Bohannan leads the Democratic primary field per early indicators, bolstering flip potential in this closely contested R+3 battleground amid national generic ballot trends favoring Democrats by 2 points.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Dec 16, 2025, 11:57 AM ET
交易量
$131结束日期
Nov 4, 2026市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 11:57 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Democrats at 52.5% to win Iowa's 1st Congressional District House seat, ahead of Republicans at 32%, reflecting incumbent GOP Rep. Mariannette Miller-Meeks' ongoing vulnerability from her 2024 victory margin of just 799 votes over Christina Bohannan and a December residency shift outside the district that has fueled criticism. A GOP primary challenge from Tyler Hegewald, launched late last year, risks splitting Republican resources ahead of the June 2 primaries, whose ballots were finalized March 17. Bohannan leads the Democratic primary field per early indicators, bolstering flip potential in this closely contested R+3 battleground amid national generic ballot trends favoring Democrats by 2 points.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$131结束日期
Nov 4, 2026市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 11:57 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Democrats at 52.5% to win Iowa's 1st Congressional District House seat, ahead of Republicans at 32%, reflecting incumbent GOP Rep. Mariannette Miller-Meeks' ongoing vulnerability from her 2024 victory margin of just 799 votes over Christina Bohannan and a December residency shift outside the district that has fueled criticism. A GOP primary challenge from Tyler Hegewald, launched late last year, risks splitting Republican resources ahead of the June 2 primaries, whose ballots were finalized March 17. Bohannan leads the Democratic primary field per early indicators, bolstering flip potential in this closely contested R+3 battleground amid national generic ballot trends favoring Democrats by 2 points.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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