Florida's 20th Congressional District, with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+22 and 69% Democratic support in the 2024 presidential vote, anchors trader consensus at 87% for a Democratic House winner despite incumbent Rep. Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick's mounting scandals. The House Ethics Committee found her guilty on 25 ethics violations last week in a rare public hearing over alleged campaign finance improprieties tied to a November 2025 DOJ indictment for misusing $5 million in FEMA disaster funds. Primary challengers Elijah Manley, who leads February polling amid calls for her resignation, and Luther Campbell intensify the August 18 Democratic primary, but GOP nominees face steep barriers in this safe Democratic seat per Cook and Sabato ratings.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主党
87%
共和党
12%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主党
$0 交易量
87%
共和党
$0 交易量
12%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 20th Congressional District, with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+22 and 69% Democratic support in the 2024 presidential vote, anchors trader consensus at 87% for a Democratic House winner despite incumbent Rep. Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick's mounting scandals. The House Ethics Committee found her guilty on 25 ethics violations last week in a rare public hearing over alleged campaign finance improprieties tied to a November 2025 DOJ indictment for misusing $5 million in FEMA disaster funds. Primary challengers Elijah Manley, who leads February polling amid calls for her resignation, and Luther Campbell intensify the August 18 Democratic primary, but GOP nominees face steep barriers in this safe Democratic seat per Cook and Sabato ratings.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 20th Congressional District, with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+22 and 69% Democratic support in the 2024 presidential vote, anchors trader consensus at 87% for a Democratic House winner despite incumbent Rep. Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick's mounting scandals. The House Ethics Committee found her guilty on 25 ethics violations last week in a rare public hearing over alleged campaign finance improprieties tied to a November 2025 DOJ indictment for misusing $5 million in FEMA disaster funds. Primary challengers Elijah Manley, who leads February polling amid calls for her resignation, and Luther Campbell intensify the August 18 Democratic primary, but GOP nominees face steep barriers in this safe Democratic seat per Cook and Sabato ratings.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 20th Congressional District, with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+22 and 69% Democratic support in the 2024 presidential vote, anchors trader consensus at 87% for a Democratic House winner despite incumbent Rep. Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick's mounting scandals. The House Ethics Committee found her guilty on 25 ethics violations last week in a rare public hearing over alleged campaign finance improprieties tied to a November 2025 DOJ indictment for misusing $5 million in FEMA disaster funds. Primary challengers Elijah Manley, who leads February polling amid calls for her resignation, and Luther Campbell intensify the August 18 Democratic primary, but GOP nominees face steep barriers in this safe Democratic seat per Cook and Sabato ratings.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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