Incumbent Rep. James Comer (R) commands trader consensus at 91.5% implied probability to retain Kentucky's 1st Congressional District, a safe Republican seat with Cook PVI R+23, where he secured 75% vote shares in recent general elections. Comer's $3.4 million cash-on-hand vastly outpaces Democratic nominee Drew Williams' $8,700, reflecting minimal opposition in this solidly conservative western Kentucky district rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report. With the GOP primary on May 19 featuring low-profile challengers and no polling shifts in the past 30 days, the race remains stable ahead of the November 3 general election. Odds could shift via a primary upset, Comer scandal, health issue, or unexpected Democratic turnout surge, though historical precedents indicate formidable barriers.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
共和党
92%
民主党
7%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
共和党
$5,727 交易量
92%
民主党
$0 交易量
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. James Comer (R) commands trader consensus at 91.5% implied probability to retain Kentucky's 1st Congressional District, a safe Republican seat with Cook PVI R+23, where he secured 75% vote shares in recent general elections. Comer's $3.4 million cash-on-hand vastly outpaces Democratic nominee Drew Williams' $8,700, reflecting minimal opposition in this solidly conservative western Kentucky district rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report. With the GOP primary on May 19 featuring low-profile challengers and no polling shifts in the past 30 days, the race remains stable ahead of the November 3 general election. Odds could shift via a primary upset, Comer scandal, health issue, or unexpected Democratic turnout surge, though historical precedents indicate formidable barriers.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$5,727结束日期
Nov 3, 2026市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. James Comer (R) commands trader consensus at 91.5% implied probability to retain Kentucky's 1st Congressional District, a safe Republican seat with Cook PVI R+23, where he secured 75% vote shares in recent general elections. Comer's $3.4 million cash-on-hand vastly outpaces Democratic nominee Drew Williams' $8,700, reflecting minimal opposition in this solidly conservative western Kentucky district rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report. With the GOP primary on May 19 featuring low-profile challengers and no polling shifts in the past 30 days, the race remains stable ahead of the November 3 general election. Odds could shift via a primary upset, Comer scandal, health issue, or unexpected Democratic turnout surge, though historical precedents indicate formidable barriers.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$5,727结束日期
Nov 3, 2026市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. James Comer (R) commands trader consensus at 91.5% implied probability to retain Kentucky's 1st Congressional District, a safe Republican seat with Cook PVI R+23, where he secured 75% vote shares in recent general elections. Comer's $3.4 million cash-on-hand vastly outpaces Democratic nominee Drew Williams' $8,700, reflecting minimal opposition in this solidly conservative western Kentucky district rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report. With the GOP primary on May 19 featuring low-profile challengers and no polling shifts in the past 30 days, the race remains stable ahead of the November 3 general election. Odds could shift via a primary upset, Comer scandal, health issue, or unexpected Democratic turnout surge, though historical precedents indicate formidable barriers.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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