The Missouri 6th congressional district’s strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+13 partisan voting index and consistent double-digit margins in prior cycles, anchors trader consensus on a GOP victory in the November 2026 general election. Longtime incumbent Sam Graves’s retirement opened the seat for the first time in over two decades, prompting a crowded August 4 Republican primary focused on Trump alignment and local priorities, while Democratic contenders remain limited. Race ratings from Cook Political Report and similar analysts classify the contest as Solid Republican, underscoring the structural barriers for any Democratic nominee. A late primary upset or national political shift could still narrow the outcome, though current evidence points to limited pathways for reversal.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$28,012 交易量
$28,012 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
92%
民主党
8%
$28,012 交易量
$28,012 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$22,456 交易量
92%
民主党
$5,555 交易量
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Missouri 6th congressional district’s strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+13 partisan voting index and consistent double-digit margins in prior cycles, anchors trader consensus on a GOP victory in the November 2026 general election. Longtime incumbent Sam Graves’s retirement opened the seat for the first time in over two decades, prompting a crowded August 4 Republican primary focused on Trump alignment and local priorities, while Democratic contenders remain limited. Race ratings from Cook Political Report and similar analysts classify the contest as Solid Republican, underscoring the structural barriers for any Democratic nominee. A late primary upset or national political shift could still narrow the outcome, though current evidence points to limited pathways for reversal.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
交易量
$28,012结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Missouri 6th congressional district’s strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+13 partisan voting index and consistent double-digit margins in prior cycles, anchors trader consensus on a GOP victory in the November 2026 general election. Longtime incumbent Sam Graves’s retirement opened the seat for the first time in over two decades, prompting a crowded August 4 Republican primary focused on Trump alignment and local priorities, while Democratic contenders remain limited. Race ratings from Cook Political Report and similar analysts classify the contest as Solid Republican, underscoring the structural barriers for any Democratic nominee. A late primary upset or national political shift could still narrow the outcome, though current evidence points to limited pathways for reversal.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$28,012结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Missouri 6th congressional district’s strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+13 partisan voting index and consistent double-digit margins in prior cycles, anchors trader consensus on a GOP victory in the November 2026 general election. Longtime incumbent Sam Graves’s retirement opened the seat for the first time in over two decades, prompting a crowded August 4 Republican primary focused on Trump alignment and local priorities, while Democratic contenders remain limited. Race ratings from Cook Political Report and similar analysts classify the contest as Solid Republican, underscoring the structural barriers for any Democratic nominee. A late primary upset or national political shift could still narrow the outcome, though current evidence points to limited pathways for reversal.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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