Christine Drazan leads Polymarket trader consensus for the Oregon Republican gubernatorial primary at 47.5% implied probability, buoyed by her narrow 2022 general election loss that showcased strong statewide appeal and party infrastructure, alongside recent fundraising nearing $1.5 million as of April 1. Ed Diehl holds second at 30.5%, propelled by his leadership in the No Tax Oregon referendum blocking 2025 transportation tax hikes, energizing anti-tax voters despite lower cash reserves of $156,000. Chris Dudley trails at 15.0% despite topping fundraising at $1.69 million—boosted by Phil Knight's $1 million donation on March 11—reflecting skepticism over his 2010-era name recognition in a fragmented field of 15 candidates. Withdrawals from a planned Salem forum underscore tensions ahead of the Oregon GOP debate on April 16 and May 19 primary.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于克里斯汀·德雷赞 49%
埃德·迪尔 32%
克里斯·达德利 14%
罗伯特·纽曼 3.0%
$60,419 交易量
$60,419 交易量
克里斯汀·德雷赞
49%
埃德·迪尔
32%
克里斯·达德利
14%
罗伯特·纽曼
3%
丹妮尔·贝索尔
2%
Chael Sonnen
<1%
Caleb Kintz
<1%
凯尔·杜伊克
<1%
布拉德·T·彼得斯
<1%
大卫·梅迪纳
<1%
帕特里克·科普克-黑尔斯
<1%
克里斯汀·德雷赞 49%
埃德·迪尔 32%
克里斯·达德利 14%
罗伯特·纽曼 3.0%
$60,419 交易量
$60,419 交易量
克里斯汀·德雷赞
49%
埃德·迪尔
32%
克里斯·达德利
14%
罗伯特·纽曼
3%
丹妮尔·贝索尔
2%
Chael Sonnen
<1%
Caleb Kintz
<1%
凯尔·杜伊克
<1%
布拉德·T·彼得斯
<1%
大卫·梅迪纳
<1%
帕特里克·科普克-黑尔斯
<1%
If no 2026 Oregon Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Oregon Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
市场开放时间： Dec 4, 2025, 6:27 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Oregon Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Oregon Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Christine Drazan leads Polymarket trader consensus for the Oregon Republican gubernatorial primary at 47.5% implied probability, buoyed by her narrow 2022 general election loss that showcased strong statewide appeal and party infrastructure, alongside recent fundraising nearing $1.5 million as of April 1. Ed Diehl holds second at 30.5%, propelled by his leadership in the No Tax Oregon referendum blocking 2025 transportation tax hikes, energizing anti-tax voters despite lower cash reserves of $156,000. Chris Dudley trails at 15.0% despite topping fundraising at $1.69 million—boosted by Phil Knight's $1 million donation on March 11—reflecting skepticism over his 2010-era name recognition in a fragmented field of 15 candidates. Withdrawals from a planned Salem forum underscore tensions ahead of the Oregon GOP debate on April 16 and May 19 primary.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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