Trader consensus heavily favors the Republican Party at 91% in Ohio's 12th Congressional District House race due to incumbent Troy Balderson's commanding position in a solidly Republican seat rated R+15 to R+16 on the Cook Partisan Voter Index, following his 68.5% victory in 2024 and strong $1.5 million cash-on-hand advantage as of late 2025. No notable developments have emerged in the past 30 days, with the Republican primary featuring only Balderson and the Democratic primary contested among low-profile challengers Jerrad Christian, Daniel Crawford, and Jason Reynard ahead of the May 5 primaries. This commanding lead reflects district fundamentals and incumbency benefits, though a major scandal, unexpected retirement, or national Democratic wave could shift odds before the November 3 general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-03
共和党
91%
民主党
9%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
共和党
$0 交易量
91%
民主党
$0 交易量
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus heavily favors the Republican Party at 91% in Ohio's 12th Congressional District House race due to incumbent Troy Balderson's commanding position in a solidly Republican seat rated R+15 to R+16 on the Cook Partisan Voter Index, following his 68.5% victory in 2024 and strong $1.5 million cash-on-hand advantage as of late 2025. No notable developments have emerged in the past 30 days, with the Republican primary featuring only Balderson and the Democratic primary contested among low-profile challengers Jerrad Christian, Daniel Crawford, and Jason Reynard ahead of the May 5 primaries. This commanding lead reflects district fundamentals and incumbency benefits, though a major scandal, unexpected retirement, or national Democratic wave could shift odds before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus heavily favors the Republican Party at 91% in Ohio's 12th Congressional District House race due to incumbent Troy Balderson's commanding position in a solidly Republican seat rated R+15 to R+16 on the Cook Partisan Voter Index, following his 68.5% victory in 2024 and strong $1.5 million cash-on-hand advantage as of late 2025. No notable developments have emerged in the past 30 days, with the Republican primary featuring only Balderson and the Democratic primary contested among low-profile challengers Jerrad Christian, Daniel Crawford, and Jason Reynard ahead of the May 5 primaries. This commanding lead reflects district fundamentals and incumbency benefits, though a major scandal, unexpected retirement, or national Democratic wave could shift odds before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors the Republican Party at 91% in Ohio's 12th Congressional District House race due to incumbent Troy Balderson's commanding position in a solidly Republican seat rated R+15 to R+16 on the Cook Partisan Voter Index, following his 68.5% victory in 2024 and strong $1.5 million cash-on-hand advantage as of late 2025. No notable developments have emerged in the past 30 days, with the Republican primary featuring only Balderson and the Democratic primary contested among low-profile challengers Jerrad Christian, Daniel Crawford, and Jason Reynard ahead of the May 5 primaries. This commanding lead reflects district fundamentals and incumbency benefits, though a major scandal, unexpected retirement, or national Democratic wave could shift odds before the November 3 general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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