Incumbent Republican Nick LaLota's dominant position in the R+4 leaning New York's 1st Congressional District underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican Party at 64.5%, reflecting his 55% victories in 2022 and 2024. Cook Political Report's March 12 reaffirmation of Solid Republican rating, alongside Inside Elections and Sabato's Likely Republican assessments, signals low flip risk as Democrats prioritize competitive seats elsewhere. LaLota holds a fundraising edge with $2.6 million cash on hand versus Democrat Christopher Gallant's $48,000, amid a fragmented Democratic primary field of five contenders ahead of the April 6 filing deadline and June 23 primaries. No recent polls exist, but the general election looms November 3.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
共和党
65%
民主党
32%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
共和党
$0 交易量
65%
民主党
$0 交易量
32%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Nick LaLota's dominant position in the R+4 leaning New York's 1st Congressional District underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican Party at 64.5%, reflecting his 55% victories in 2022 and 2024. Cook Political Report's March 12 reaffirmation of Solid Republican rating, alongside Inside Elections and Sabato's Likely Republican assessments, signals low flip risk as Democrats prioritize competitive seats elsewhere. LaLota holds a fundraising edge with $2.6 million cash on hand versus Democrat Christopher Gallant's $48,000, amid a fragmented Democratic primary field of five contenders ahead of the April 6 filing deadline and June 23 primaries. No recent polls exist, but the general election looms November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
Nov 3, 2026市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Nick LaLota's dominant position in the R+4 leaning New York's 1st Congressional District underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican Party at 64.5%, reflecting his 55% victories in 2022 and 2024. Cook Political Report's March 12 reaffirmation of Solid Republican rating, alongside Inside Elections and Sabato's Likely Republican assessments, signals low flip risk as Democrats prioritize competitive seats elsewhere. LaLota holds a fundraising edge with $2.6 million cash on hand versus Democrat Christopher Gallant's $48,000, amid a fragmented Democratic primary field of five contenders ahead of the April 6 filing deadline and June 23 primaries. No recent polls exist, but the general election looms November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$0结束日期
Nov 3, 2026市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Nick LaLota's dominant position in the R+4 leaning New York's 1st Congressional District underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican Party at 64.5%, reflecting his 55% victories in 2022 and 2024. Cook Political Report's March 12 reaffirmation of Solid Republican rating, alongside Inside Elections and Sabato's Likely Republican assessments, signals low flip risk as Democrats prioritize competitive seats elsewhere. LaLota holds a fundraising edge with $2.6 million cash on hand versus Democrat Christopher Gallant's $48,000, amid a fragmented Democratic primary field of five contenders ahead of the April 6 filing deadline and June 23 primaries. No recent polls exist, but the general election looms November 3.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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