Incumbent Rep. Lauren Underwood's unopposed victory in the March 17 Democratic primary for Illinois' 14th Congressional District has reinforced trader consensus at 91.5% for the Democratic Party, reflecting her strong hold on the exurban Chicago suburbs seat since flipping it in 2018 with margins exceeding 10 points. Republican nominee James Marter advanced decisively over Gary Vician (75%-25%), but Cook Political Report rates the race Solid Democratic, aligning with historical polling averages and incumbency advantages in battleground districts. With the November 3 general election months away, odds could shift via a national Republican wave, Underwood scandal, legal challenges, or abrupt fundraising disparities, though such reversals remain low-probability given the district's partisan lean.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
民主党
91%
共和党
8%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
民主党
$0 交易量
91%
共和党
$0 交易量
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Lauren Underwood's unopposed victory in the March 17 Democratic primary for Illinois' 14th Congressional District has reinforced trader consensus at 91.5% for the Democratic Party, reflecting her strong hold on the exurban Chicago suburbs seat since flipping it in 2018 with margins exceeding 10 points. Republican nominee James Marter advanced decisively over Gary Vician (75%-25%), but Cook Political Report rates the race Solid Democratic, aligning with historical polling averages and incumbency advantages in battleground districts. With the November 3 general election months away, odds could shift via a national Republican wave, Underwood scandal, legal challenges, or abrupt fundraising disparities, though such reversals remain low-probability given the district's partisan lean.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
Nov 3, 2026市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Lauren Underwood's unopposed victory in the March 17 Democratic primary for Illinois' 14th Congressional District has reinforced trader consensus at 91.5% for the Democratic Party, reflecting her strong hold on the exurban Chicago suburbs seat since flipping it in 2018 with margins exceeding 10 points. Republican nominee James Marter advanced decisively over Gary Vician (75%-25%), but Cook Political Report rates the race Solid Democratic, aligning with historical polling averages and incumbency advantages in battleground districts. With the November 3 general election months away, odds could shift via a national Republican wave, Underwood scandal, legal challenges, or abrupt fundraising disparities, though such reversals remain low-probability given the district's partisan lean.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$0结束日期
Nov 3, 2026市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Lauren Underwood's unopposed victory in the March 17 Democratic primary for Illinois' 14th Congressional District has reinforced trader consensus at 91.5% for the Democratic Party, reflecting her strong hold on the exurban Chicago suburbs seat since flipping it in 2018 with margins exceeding 10 points. Republican nominee James Marter advanced decisively over Gary Vician (75%-25%), but Cook Political Report rates the race Solid Democratic, aligning with historical polling averages and incumbency advantages in battleground districts. With the November 3 general election months away, odds could shift via a national Republican wave, Underwood scandal, legal challenges, or abrupt fundraising disparities, though such reversals remain low-probability given the district's partisan lean.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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